title: Prognostic value of left ventricular end-systolic volume index as a predictor of heart failure hospitalization in stable coronary artery disease: data from the Heart and Soul Study.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  Left ventricular (LV) end-systolic volume indexed to body surface area (ESVI) is a simple yet powerful echocardiographic marker of LV remodeling that can be measured easily. The prognostic value of ESVI and its merit relative to other markers of LV remodeling in patients with coronary heart disease are unknown.
  
  
  METHODS
  We examined the association of ESVI with hospitalization for heart failure (HF) and mortality in a prospective study of patients with coronary heart disease.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Of the 989 participants, 110 (11%) were hospitalized for HF during 3.6 +/- 1.1 years of follow-up. Among participants in the highest ESVI quartile (> 25 mL/m(2)), 67 of 248 (27%) developed HF compared with 8 of 248 (3%) among those in the lowest quartile. The association between ESVI and HF hospitalization persisted after adjustment for potential confounders (hazard ratio 5.0, 95% confidence interval, 1.5-16.9; P = .01).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  ESVI > 25 mL/m(2) is an independent predictor of hospitalization for HF in patients with stable coronary heart disease.
authors.affiliation: Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, California 94143, USA.
authors.forename: David D
authors.initials: DD
authors.lastname: McManus
authors.forename: Sanjiv J
authors.initials: SJ
authors.lastname: Shah
authors.forename: Mary Rose
authors.initials: MR
authors.lastname: Fabi
authors.forename: Alisa
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Rosen
authors.forename: Mary A
authors.initials: MA
authors.lastname: Whooley
authors.forename: Nelson B
authors.initials: NB
authors.lastname: Schiller
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D002140:California / Q000453:epidemiology; D015897:Comorbidity; D003324:Coronary Artery Disease / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging* / Q000453:epidemiology*; D005260:Female; D006333:Heart Failure / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging* / Q000453:epidemiology*; D006760:Hospitalization / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008297:Male; D011379:Prognosis; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D018570:Risk Assessment / Q000379:methods; D012307:Risk Factors; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D013318:Stroke Volume; D014463:Ultrasonography; D018487:Ventricular Dysfunction, Left / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging / Q000453:epidemiology