title: State of the world's children with diabetes.
abstract: As one considers the near future of diabetes in children, some very sobering thoughts are in order. First, with respect to the magnitude of the problem, the worst is yet to come! The emergence of new economic giants such as China and India will bring with it potential massive increases in type 1 diabetes (2-5% per annum increases in incidence in the world's most populous countries) and childhood obesity (with its associated insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes). This will demand the training of enormous numbers of health care professionals and delivery of insulin and testing equipment that is of high quality and reasonable cost. Second, the majority of children with diabetes presently do not and, likely in the foreseeable future, will not achieve and maintain levels of metabolic control that provide protection from microvascular and macrovascular complications. In fact, an analysis by the Centers for Disease Control in the USA suggested that a child of 10 yr of age developing diabetes in the year 2000 would live a further approximately 50-55 yr, losing about 18-20 yr of life, this in the world's richest nation!Finally, Edwin Gale in 2005 issued the following warning: 'The individual and communal legacy of poor glucose control will remain with us for the next 30 years, EVEN if an effective means of preventing new cases of the disease were to be introduced tomorrow'.There is much work to be done and little room for complacency. Only when every single child with diabetes has ready access to experienced health care professionals, insulin, and other supplies, food water and protection will the first part of the job be done.
authors.affiliation: Department of Pediatrics, University of Toronto, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Canada. denis.daneman@sickkids.ca
authors.forename: Denis
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Daneman
mesh_terms: D003922:Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000628:therapy; D014943:Global Health; D006801:Humans; D012959:Socioeconomic Factors