The last man standing is the most resistant: eliminating artemisinin-resistant malaria in Cambodia.
BACKGROUND
Artemisinin combination therapy (ACT) is now the recommended first-line treatment for falciparum malaria throughout the world. Initiatives to eliminate malaria are critically dependent on its efficacy. There is recent worrying evidence that artemisinin resistance has arisen on the Thai-Cambodian border. Urgent containment interventions are planned and about to be executed. Mathematical modeling approaches to intervention design are now integrated into the field of malaria epidemiology and control. The use of such an approach to investigate the likely effectiveness of different containment measures with the ultimate aim of eliminating artemisinin-resistant malaria is described.


METHODS
A population dynamic mathematical modeling framework was developed to explore the relative effectiveness of a variety of containment interventions in eliminating artemisinin-resistant malaria in western Cambodia.


RESULTS
The most effective intervention to eliminate artemisinin-resistant malaria was a switch of treatment from artemisinin monotherapy to ACT (mean time to elimination 3.42 years (95% CI 3.32-3.60 years). However, with this approach it is predicted that elimination of artemisinin-resistant malaria using ACT can be achieved only by elimination of all malaria. This is because the various forms of ACT are more effective against infections with artemisinin-sensitive parasites, leaving the more resistant infections as an increasing proportion of the dwindling parasite population.


CONCLUSIONS
Containment of artemisinin-resistant malaria can be achieved by elimination of malaria from western Cambodia using ACT. The "last man standing" is the most resistant and thus this strategy must be sustained until elimination is truly achieved.
Maude
Richard J
RJ
Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Rajthevee, Bangkok 10400, Thailand. richardmaude@gmail.com
Pontavornpinyo
Wirichada
W
Saralamba
Sompob
S
Aguas
Ricardo
R
Yeung
Shunmay
S
Dondorp
Arjen M
AM
Day
Nicholas P J
NP
White
Nicholas J
NJ
White
Lisa J
LJ
D000818:Animals; D000890:Anti-Infective Agents / Q000008:administration & dosage / Q000494:pharmacology* / Q000627:therapeutic use; D000962:Antimalarials / Q000008:administration & dosage / Q000494:pharmacology* / Q000627:therapeutic use; D037621:Artemisinins / Q000008:administration & dosage / Q000494:pharmacology* / Q000627:therapeutic use; D002160:Cambodia; D004359:Drug Therapy, Combination; D006801:Humans; D016778:Malaria, Falciparum / Q000188:drug therapy / Q000469:parasitology*; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D010963:Plasmodium falciparum / Q000187:drug effects* / Q000235:genetics
D000890:Anti-Infective Agents; D000962:Antimalarials; D037621:Artemisinins; C031327:artemisinin