title: Factors associated with the relationship between motorcycle deaths and economic growth.
abstract: This paper examines the Kuznets curve relationship for motorcycle deaths. The Kuznets curve describes the inverted U-shape relationship between economic development and, in this case, motorcycle deaths. In early stages of development we expect deaths to increase with increasing motorization. Eventually deaths decrease as technical, policy and political institutions respond to demands for increased safety. We examine this effect as well as some of the factors which might explain the Kuznets relationship: in particular motorcycle helmet laws, medical care and technology improvements, and variables representing the quality of political institutions. We apply a fixed effects negative binomial regression analysis on a panel of 25 countries covering the period 1970-1999. Our results broadly suggest that implementation of road safety regulation, improvement in the quality of political institutions, and medical care and technology developments have contributed to reduced motorcycle deaths.
authors.affiliation: Centre for Transport Studies, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK. thlaw@ic.ac.uk
authors.forename: Teik Hua
authors.initials: TH
authors.lastname: Law
authors.forename: Robert B
authors.initials: RB
authors.lastname: Noland
authors.forename: Andrew W
authors.initials: AW
authors.lastname: Evans
mesh_terms: D000063:Accidents, Traffic / Q000191:economics* / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence / Q000401:mortality*; D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D006801:Humans; D007182:Income / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D008875:Middle Aged; D017059:Models, Econometric; D009049:Motorcycles; D055815:Young Adult