[Testing the probability of a model to predict suicide risk in high school and university students].
OBJECTIVE
The aim of this study was to investigate the validity of a model proposed by Batigün and Sahin regarding suicide probability.


METHODS
The sample was composed of 2343 students aged 15-25 years that were attending various high schools and universities. According to the proposed model, 2 risk groups were formed from this sample, according to their scores on the investigation variables (those that simultaneously received high scores 1 standard deviation above the mean on the Problem Solving Inventory, Multidimensional Anger Scale, and Impulsivity Scale). Two other risk groups were formed according to the criteria variable scores (suicide probability scores 1 standard deviation above and below the mean). A series of analyses were conducted to investigate the similarity between the model risk groups and criteria risk groups.


RESULTS
The results reveal that the model had a 43.3% success rate for predicting those with high suicide probability, while the false negative rate was 0%. Discriminant analysis showed that the model correctly discriminated 90.2% of those with low suicide probability and 87.3% of those with high suicide probability.


CONCLUSIONS
The results support the validity of the proposed model for selecting individuals with high suicide probability. In addition, the model can be used to offer these individuals certain preventive measures, such as problem solving, communication skills, and anger management training.
Sahin
Nesrin Hisli
NH
nesrinhislisahin@gmail.com
Batigün
Ayşegül Durak
AD
D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D016002:Discriminant Analysis; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008960:Models, Psychological; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011336:Probability; D018570:Risk Assessment / Q000379:methods; D012574:Schools; D013334:Students / Q000523:psychology / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D013405:Suicide / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D014495:Universities; D055815:Young Adult; D000092864:Suicide Prevention