title: Epidemiologic investigation of the re-emergence of infectious salmon anemia virus in Chile.
abstract: Reports from surveillance activities were analyzed to determine the epidemiology of the re-emergence of infectious salmon anemia virus (ISAV) in Atlantic salmon farms in Chile. The epidemic and spatial and spatiotemporal patterns were described, taking into account commercial compartmentalization of the farms. During the 64 wk study period, 76 ISAV-infected salmon farms, representing 17 companies, were reported in 65% of the management geographic zones of the 10th region in southern Chile. Approximately 20% of the farms at risk became infected, with the incidence rate increasing slightly over time. Results from epidemic analyses and observed spatial and spatiotemporal patterns suggested an initial dispersal and subsequent clustering of cases around the index case (IC) in a propagated epidemic mode. Results suggested that delayed depopulation may have been a key factor in the spread and persistence of ISAV. Clustering of cases supported the assumption that passive transmission in seawater from ISAV-infected farms (proximity) is a critical factor in controlling disease. The re-emergence of ISAV in Chile has resulted in one of the largest ISAV epidemics reported in the world and this study generates new hypotheses and provides useful information for spatial disease control planning in salmon farming areas.
authors.affiliation: Center for Animal Disease Modeling and Surveillance (CADMS), Department of Medicine and Epidemiology, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis, California 95616, USA. fomardones@ucdavis.edu
authors.forename: Fernando O
authors.initials: FO
authors.lastname: Mardones
authors.forename: Andrés M
authors.initials: AM
authors.lastname: Perez
authors.forename: Tim E
authors.initials: TE
authors.lastname: Carpenter
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D017756:Aquaculture; D002677:Chile / Q000453:epidemiology; D021821:Communicable Diseases, Emerging / Q000662:veterinary* / Q000821:virology; D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D005393:Fish Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000821:virology*; D046829:Isavirus; D009976:Orthomyxoviridae Infections / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000662:veterinary* / Q000821:virology; D011159:Population Surveillance; D012474:Salmon