Using costs in cost-effectiveness models for chronic diseases: lessons from diabetes.
BACKGROUND
Cost-effectiveness models for chronic diseases frequently require simulating the development of disease complications over a long period. Model development often focuses on disease progression, with less attention devoted to costs.


OBJECTIVE
To identify key challenges in incorporating costs in cost-effectiveness models for chronic diseases.


METHODS
We use our experience in developing and applying a diabetes cost-effectiveness model to illustrate the challenges in incorporating costs in cost-effectiveness models for chronic diseases.


RESULTS
Costs used in cost-effectiveness analyses for chronic diseases are sometimes drawn from a variety of published sources with little concern about consistency between sources or the underlying functional form for costs. Identifying costs of complications in chronic disease modeling often receives inadequate attention compared to the time and effort devoted to modeling disease progression. Costs of averted complications typically cannot be estimated during a trial, because these complications begin to accrue years after the intervention. Complication costs may be estimated through gross-costing, using an additive cost function with individual complication costs derived from difference sources, or through cost regressions that apply a multiplicative functional form using a single data source. The choice between additive and multiplicative cost functions may affect the cost-effectiveness ratios generated by the model. Current guidelines do not provide much guidance on choosing between the costing approaches.


CONCLUSIONS
Developing a set of standard cost estimates might streamline the modeling process for chronic diseases, but standardization will require careful attention to functional form and the selection of appropriate data sets.
Hoerger
Thomas J
TJ
RTI-UNC Center of Excellence in Health Promotion Economics, RTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27709, USA. tjh@rti.org
D002908:Chronic Disease / Q000191:economics*; D017281:Cost of Illness; D003362:Cost-Benefit Analysis / Q000379:methods*; D048909:Diabetes Complications / Q000191:economics; D003920:Diabetes Mellitus / Q000191:economics; D017048:Health Care Costs; D006302:Health Services Research / Q000379:methods; D006801:Humans; D008390:Markov Chains; D017059:Models, Econometric; D019057:Quality-Adjusted Life Years; D012044:Regression Analysis