title: High blood pressure response to stress ergometry could predict future hypertension.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Previous studies have shown that exaggerated blood pressure (BP) during exercise is a valid risk predictor for future hypertension in most men and women, yet the use of ergometry as a means of early detection of incipient hypertension still requires confirmation.
  
  
  OBJECTIVE
  To assess the clinical utility of exercise BP measurement for the evaluation of risk for developing new-onset hypertension.
  
  
  METHODS
  Thirty individuals with normal BP were enrolled in this study and were subsequently divided into two groups: 13 persons with in-exercise hypertension were compared with 17 matched persons who were normotensive during ergometry. Their blood pressure was monitored during follow-up of two years.
  
  
  RESULTS
  More individuals in the exercise-hypertensive group developed hypertension after one or two years than those normotensive during the exercise (respectively, one year: 3 vs.0, p=0.03, two years: 10 vs. 1, p<0.0001). Both the systolic and diastolic BPs significantly differed between the two groups. Eighty four percent of those with exaggerated BP (>or=210 mm Hg) during the treadmill exercise developed hypertension after 2 years. The sensitivity and specificity of in-exercise hypertension for predicting its 2 year occurrence were, respectively, 91% and 84%.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Even in the absence of hypertension, its development during stress ergometry could be considered a predictive marker for the future development of hypertension, and can be a potential tool for identifying normotensive individuals at high risk. These individuals should be followed up and their BP controlled for a long time.
authors.affiliation: Department of Internal Medicine B, Ziv Medical Center, Safed, Israel. raymond.f@ziv.health.gov.il
authors.forename: Raymond
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Farah
authors.forename: Revital
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Shurtz-Swirski
authors.forename: Makhoul
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Nicola
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D001794:Blood Pressure; D042241:Early Diagnosis; D016552:Ergometry; D005080:Exercise Test; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006801:Humans; D006973:Hypertension / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000503:physiopathology*; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D012307:Risk Factors; D055815:Young Adult