Importance of delivered cycles and nomogram for intraperitoneal chemotherapy in ovarian cancer.
OBJECTIVE
Intraperitoneal (IP) chemotherapy has gained enthusiasm in the treatment of ovarian cancer. Despite having a better survival advantage than intravenous (IV) chemotherapy, IP chemotherapy still poses significant morbidity and complications. Identifying the subset of patients who could best benefit from IP chemotherapy, and those who would least benefit from this treatment, thus avoiding potential complications, is critical.


METHODS
Between January 2001 and December 2007, 367 patients with stage III epithelial ovarian cancer underwent randomized trial for IP/IV chemotherapy were recruited to construct a nomogram, which is a graphical representation of Cox proportional hazards model adopting six weighted risk factors including age, CA125, IP/IV delivery, stage, histology, and upper abdominal metastases. The nomogram was internally validated for discrimination and calibration. The concordance index was used for quantifying the predictive ability of overall survival with bootstrapping to correct for bias.


RESULTS
The cycles of completed IP chemotherapy had an impact on overall survival (> or =5 vs. < or =4 cycles, P=0.02). A nomogram for predicting median survival and 5-year survival probability was constructed with a concordance index of 0.72. Upper abdominal tumor metastases (P<0.001) and colon resection (P=0.02) predicted increased chances for early discontinuation of IP chemotherapy.


CONCLUSIONS
At least five IP cycles are needed to achieve better survival. Nomogram can help to identify the subset of patients who can least benefit from IP chemotherapy, thus avoiding potential IP complications and help to facilitate discussion between patient and physician, risk stratification, and help to guide clinical care.
Yen
Ming-Shien
MS
Section of Gynecologic Oncology, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
Twu
Nae-Fong
NF
Lai
Chiung-Ru
CR
Horng
Huann-Cheng
HC
Chao
Kuan-Chong
KC
Juang
Chi-Mou
CM
D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D000971:Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols / Q000008:administration & dosage*; D016190:Carboplatin / Q000008:administration & dosage; D017024:Chemotherapy, Adjuvant; D002945:Cisplatin / Q000008:administration & dosage; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D007263:Infusions, Parenteral; D008875:Middle Aged; D009367:Neoplasm Staging; D010051:Ovarian Neoplasms / Q000188:drug therapy* / Q000473:pathology / Q000601:surgery; D017239:Paclitaxel / Q000008:administration & dosage; D016016:Proportional Hazards Models
D016190:Carboplatin; D017239:Paclitaxel; D002945:Cisplatin