title: The use of average Pavlov ratio to predict the risk of post operative upper limb palsy after posterior cervical decompression.
abstract: METHODS
  A retrospective study was conducted to study the post operative upper limb palsy after laminoplasty for cervical myelopathy.
  
  
  OBJECTIVE
  To identify a reliable and simple preoperative radiological parameter in predicting the risk of post operative upper limb palsy.
  
  
  BACKGROUND
  Post operative upper limb palsy is one of the causes of patient dissatisfaction after surgery. There had been no simple, standard preoperative radiological parameters reliably predict the occurrence of this problem.
  
  
  METHODS
  Seventy-four patients received posterior cervical decompression from 1998 to 2008. Medical record and preoperative radiological information were evaluated. Clinical presentations of the palsy were described. The relationship between the occurrence of palsy and different preoperative radiological information is analyzed.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Eighteen patients (24.3%) presented with post operative upper limb palsy. Majority of patients presented with dysesthesia (17/18) and with deficit of the C5 segment (17/18). Ten patients presented with pure dysesthesia and 8 patients presented with mixed motor-sensory deficit and dysesthesia. Multilevel involvement was exclusively presented in patients with motor weakness. A longer duration of symptom (16.7 Vs 57.2 days) was noticed in patients in the motor deficit group. Average Pavlov ratio less then 0.65 (P = 0.027, Odds Ratio = 3.68) and compression at the C3/4 in preoperative MRI image (P = 0.025, Odds Ratio = 6) were significant risk factors for development of this problem.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Post operative upper limb palsy is not uncommon and thorough preoperative explanation is important. There is a spectrum of clinical presentation and patients with multi-level involvement and motor deficit are associated with poorer prognosis. Average Pavlov ratio < 0.65 and compression at C3/4 segment on preoperative MRI image are simple and reliable preoperative predictor for the development of this problem.
authors: Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Alice Ho Mui Ling Nethersole Hospital, Tai Po, NT, Hong Kong SAR, PR China. siehkm1@yahoo.com.hk.
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