title: Use of preoperative natriuretic peptides and echocardiographic parameters in predicting new-onset atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass grafting: a prospective comparative study.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common complication after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). We prospectively compared the ability of echocardiographic parameters and the cardiac neurohormones, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) to predict AF in this setting.
  
  
  METHODS
  We recruited 275 patients undergoing nonemergency CABG. Patients undergoing valve surgery or with prior atrial dysrhythmia (based on clinical history and review of medical records) were excluded. Echocardiography was performed, and natriuretic peptide levels were measured, 24 hours before surgery. The primary end point was postoperative AF lasting >30 seconds.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The only significant echocardiographic predictors of postoperative AF (n = 107, 39%) were the transmitral E to A-wave ratio and the early mitral annulus velocity. Levels of BNP and NT-proBNP were higher in patients who developed AF. Both natriuretic peptides, but none of the echocardiographic parameters, remained independently predictive in multivariable analysis. The optimum cut points for predicting AF were 31 pg/mL for BNP (odds ratio [OR] 2.74, P = .001) and 74 pg/mL for NT-proBNP (OR 2.74, P = .003).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Levels of BNP and NT-proBNP are independent, though modestly effective, predictors of AF after isolated CABG. In contrast, none of the echocardiographic parameters assessed, including measures of LV systolic function and filling pressure, were independently predictive.
authors.affiliation: Department of Cardiology, University of Aberdeen and Aberdeen Royal Infirmary, Aberdeen, United Kingdom.
authors.forename: Patrick H
authors.initials: PH
authors.lastname: Gibson
authors.forename: Bernard L
authors.initials: BL
authors.lastname: Croal
authors.forename: Brian H
authors.initials: BH
authors.lastname: Cuthbertson
authors.forename: Daniela
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Rae
authors.forename: Jane D
authors.initials: JD
authors.lastname: McNeilly
authors.forename: George
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Gibson
authors.forename: Robert R
authors.initials: RR
authors.lastname: Jeffrey
authors.forename: Keith G
authors.initials: KG
authors.lastname: Buchan
authors.forename: Hussein
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: El-Shafei
authors.forename: Graham S
authors.initials: GS
authors.lastname: Hillis
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D001281:Atrial Fibrillation / Q000097:blood / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000209:etiology*; D001026:Coronary Artery Bypass / Q000009:adverse effects*; D015150:Echocardiography, Doppler; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D016015:Logistic Models; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D020097:Natriuretic Peptide, Brain / Q000097:blood*; D010446:Peptide Fragments / Q000097:blood*; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011300:Preoperative Care; D011379:Prognosis; D011446:Prospective Studies; D013318:Stroke Volume; D016277:Ventricular Function, Left / Q000502:physiology
chemical_list: D010446:Peptide Fragments; C109794:pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76); D020097:Natriuretic Peptide, Brain