Probabilistic model of influenza virus transmissibility at various temperature and humidity conditions.
The spread efficiency of influenza virus is significantly affected by several environmental parameters. However, neither the underlying reasons, nor the exact character and magnitude of the phenomena involved are sufficiently well understood. Here we present a probabilistic approach to the virus transmission events. For a sample ensemble, we construct a model of the infectivity as a function of the ambient conditions, and we determine its parameter values on the basis of the available experimental data.
Zuk
Tomasz
T
Interdisciplinary Center for Mathematical and Computational Modeling, University of Warsaw, Pawinskiego 5A, bldg. D, 02-106 Warsaw, Poland. tzuk@icm.edu.pl
Rakowski
Franciszek
F
Radomski
Jan P
JP
D000818:Animals; D006801:Humans; D006813:Humidity; D007251:Influenza, Human / Q000635:transmission* / Q000821:virology; D008954:Models, Biological; D015233:Models, Statistical; D009975:Orthomyxoviridae / Q000502:physiology*; D013696:Temperature