A preliminary analysis of the epidemiology of influenza A(H1N1)v virus infection in Thailand from early outbreak data, June-July 2009.
As the influenza A(H1N1)v pandemic unfolds globally, it is vital to monitor closely for signals of change in the current patterns of transmission. We estimate the basic reproduction ratio for A(H1N1)v virus in Thailand and propose a method to keep track of the actual case count notwithstanding the exponential growth rate.
de Silva
U C
UC
Thailand-Japan Research Collaboration Centre on Emerging and Re-emerging Infections, National Institute of Health, Department of Medical Sciences, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand. chandi@biken.osaka-u.ac.jp
Warachit
J
J
Waicharoen
S
S
Chittaganpitch
M
M
D017677:Age Distribution; D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D053118:Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype / Q000254:growth & development*; D007251:Influenza, Human / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000635:transmission / Q000821:virology; D008297:Male; D009026:Mortality / Q000639:trends*; D016012:Poisson Distribution; D013785:Thailand / Q000453:epidemiology