title: Predictive effects of different clinical balance measures and the fear of falling on falls in postmenopausal women aged 50 years and over.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Falls among the elderly are associated with a high morbidity and mortality and can involve high-cost medical interventions. The risk of falls often remains undiagnosed until an episode occurs but if the risk is high, preventative measures could be introduced.
  
  
  OBJECTIVE
  This 6-month prospective study investigated whether different postural clinical measures and fear of falling (FOF) itself can predict future falls in postmenopausal women aged > or =50 years.
  
  
  METHODS
  125 postmenopausal women were studied comparing the outcome of fallers vs. non-fallers within the 6-month follow-up study period. Clinical measures, history of falls and FOF data were determined at baseline and the number of falls and FOF were ascertained at the final visit or by telephone interview at 6 months.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Of the clinical measures investigated, the Falls Efficacy Scale International (FES-I) >26 points (OR = 7.28, per additional point, 95% CI 2.25-23.61, p = 0.001) and Berg Balance Scale (BBS) < or =52 points (OR = 4.77, per additional point, 95% CI = 1.15-19.82, p = 0.031) performed best in prediction of the future falls.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Postmenopausal women aged > or =50 years who had FES-I scores >26 points and BBS < or =52 points should be examined for risk factors of future falls and offered preventative measures.
authors.affiliation: Department of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Inonu University Faculty of Medicine, Malatya, Turkey. eyuksel@inonu.edu.tr
authors.forename: Yuksel
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Ersoy
authors.forename: Ronald S
authors.initials: RS
authors.lastname: MacWalter
authors.forename: Bekir
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Durmus
authors.forename: Zuhal E
authors.initials: ZE
authors.lastname: Altay
authors.forename: Ozlem
authors.initials: O
authors.lastname: Baysal
mesh_terms: D000058:Accidental Falls / Q000517:prevention & control* / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D000368:Aged; D005239:Fear / Q000502:physiology*; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006801:Humans; D016015:Logistic Models; D008875:Middle Aged; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D010024:Osteoporosis / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000503:physiopathology*; D017698:Postmenopause / Q000502:physiology*; D004856:Postural Balance / Q000502:physiology*; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity