An analysis of a short-lived outbreak of dengue fever in Mauritius.
During the month of June 2009, Mauritius experienced a short-lived outbreak of dengue fever localised in its capital city Port Louis. Aedes albopictus, a secondary vector of dengue viruses, was the probable vector. We introduce a method which combines Google Earth images, stochastic cellular automata and scale free network ideas to map this outbreak. The method could complement other techniques to forecast the evolution of potential localised mosquito-borne viral outbreaks in Mauritius and in at-risk locations elsewhere for public health planning purposes.
Ramchurn
S K
SK
Department of Physics, Faculty of Science, University of Mauritius, Reduit, Mauritius. skr@uom.ac.mu
Moheeput
K
K
Goorah
S S
SS
D003715:Dengue / Q000453:epidemiology*; D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008436:Mauritius / Q000453:epidemiology; D011159:Population Surveillance / Q000379:methods*; D018570:Risk Assessment / Q000379:methods; D012307:Risk Factors; D013997:Time Factors