title: Usefulness of clinical findings, nerve conduction studies and ultrasonography to predict response to surgical release in idiopathic carpal tunnel syndrome.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To assess the usefulness of clinical findings, nerve conduction studies and ultrasonography performed by a rheumatologist to predict success in patients with idiopathic carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS) undergoing median nerve release.
  
  
  METHODS
  Ninety consecutive patients with CTS (112 wrists) completed a specific CTS questionnaire and underwent physical examination and nerve conduction studies. Ultrasound examination was performed by a rheumatologist who was blind to any patient's data. Outcome variables were improvement >25% in symptoms of the CTS questionnaire and patient's overall satisfaction (5-point Likert scale) at 3 months postoperatively. Success was defined as improvement in both outcome variables. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves and logistic regression analyses were used to assess the best predictive combination of preoperative findings.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Success was achieved in 63% of the operated wrists. Utility parameters and area under the ROC curve (AUC) for individual findings was poor, ranging from 0.481 of the nerve conduction study to 0.634 of the cross-sectional area at tunnel outlet. Logistic regression identified the preoperative US parameters as the best predictive variables for success after 3 months. The best predictive combination (AUC=0.708) included a negative Phalen maneuver, plus absence of thenar atrophy, plus less than moderately abnormalities on nerve conduction studies plus a large maximal cross-sectional area along the tunnel by ultrasonography.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Although cross-sectional area of the median nerve was the only predictor of success after three months of surgical release, isolated preoperative findings are not reliable predictors of success in patients with idiopathic CTS. A combination of findings that include ultrasound improves prediction.
authors.affiliation: Department of Rheumatology, Hospital de Gran Canaria Dr. Negrín, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain. anarher@gobiernodecanarias.org
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Naranjo
authors.forename: S
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Ojeda
authors.forename: V
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Araña
authors.forename: P
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Baeta
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Fernández-Palacios
authors.forename: O
authors.initials: O
authors.lastname: García-Duque
authors.forename: C
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Rodríguez-Lozano
authors.forename: L
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Carmona
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D002349:Carpal Tunnel Syndrome / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging* / Q000534:rehabilitation / Q000601:surgery*; D004568:Electrodiagnosis; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D016015:Logistic Models; D008297:Male; D008475:Median Nerve / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging*; D008875:Middle Aged; D010808:Physical Examination; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012372:ROC Curve; D020127:Recovery of Function; D012720:Severity of Illness Index; D014463:Ultrasonography