Mortality after failure of antiretroviral therapy in sub-Saharan Africa.
OBJECTIVE
To assess the outcome of patients who experienced treatment failure with antiretrovirals in sub-Saharan Africa.


METHODS
Analysis of 11 antiretroviral therapy (ART) programmes in sub-Saharan Africa. World Health Organization (WHO) criteria were used to define treatment failure. All ART-naive patients aged >or=16 who started with a non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-based regimen and had at least 6 months of follow-up were eligible. For each patient who switched to a second-line regimen, 10 matched patients who remained on a non-failing first-line regimen were selected. Time was measured from the time of switching, from the corresponding time in matched patients, or from the time of treatment failure in patients who remained on a failing regimen. Mortality was analysed using Kaplan-Meier curves and random-effects Cox models.


RESULTS
Of 16 591 adult patients starting ART, 382 patients (2.3%) switched to a second-line regimen. Another 323 patients (1.9%) did not switch despite developing immunological or virological failure. Cumulative mortality at 1 year was 4.2% (95% CI 2.2-7.8%) in patients who switched to a second-line regimen and 11.7% (7.3%-18.5%) in patients who remained on a failing first-line regimen, compared to 2.2% (1.6-3.0%) in patients on a non-failing first-line regimen (P < 0.0001). Differences in mortality were not explained by nadir CD4 cell count, age or differential loss to follow up.


CONCLUSIONS
Many patients who meet criteria for treatment failure do not switch to a second-line regimen and die. There is an urgent need to clarify the reasons why in sub-Saharan Africa many patients remain on failing first-line ART.
Keiser
Olivia
O
Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland. okeiser@ispm.unibe.ch
Tweya
Hannock
H
Braitstein
Paula
P
Dabis
François
F
MacPhail
Patrick
P
Boulle
Andrew
A
Nash
Denis
D
Wood
Robin
R
Lüthi
Ruedi
R
Brinkhof
Martin W G
MW
Schechter
Mauro
M
Egger
Matthias
M
D000328:Adult; D017954:Africa South of the Sahara / Q000453:epidemiology; D019380:Anti-HIV Agents / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D023241:Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active / Q000379:methods; D018791:CD4 Lymphocyte Count; D004812:Epidemiologic Methods; D005260:Female; D015658:HIV Infections / Q000188:drug therapy* / Q000276:immunology / Q000401:mortality / Q000821:virology; D015497:HIV-1 / Q000302:isolation & purification*; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D017211:Treatment Failure; D019562:Viral Load
D019380:Anti-HIV Agents