title: Swine origin influenza A (H1N1) virus and ICU capacity in the US: are we prepared?
abstract: We developed a model simulating the potential impact of influenza H1N1 pandemic on the volume of acute respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation (ARF-MV) and the accompanying mortality rate in the US. We calculate that 46 million people will contract the infection, resulting in 2.7 million hospitalizations, 331,587 episodes of ARF-MV and nearly 200,000 deaths, suggesting that the US may require the ability to provide MV at a volume approximately 33% over the current annual use.
authors.affiliation: EviMed Research Group, LLC, USA.
authors.forename: Marya D
authors.initials: MD
authors.lastname: Zilberberg
authors.forename: Christian
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Sandrock
authors.forename: Andrew
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Shorr