Predictors of 3-year mortality in subjects over 95 years of age. The NonaSantfeliu study.
OBJECTIVE
To examine the survival rates of subjects aged 95 or over after a follow-up period of 3 years, and to determine predictive factors for mortality risk.


METHODS
A prospective cohort study.


METHODS
A community-based study.


METHODS
Forty-eight subjects aged 95 or over.


METHODS
Sociodemographic data, Barthel Index, Lawton-Brody Index, Spanish version of the Mini-Mental State Examination, short version of the Mini Nutritional Assessment, comorbidity (Charlson Index), and prevalent chronic diseases were evaluated. Patients who died were compared with the rest.


RESULTS
Thirty-six deaths (75%) were recorded during follow-up. The Cox multivariate analysis showed that lower Barthel Index scores and a history of heart failure were independently associated with long-term mortality.


CONCLUSIONS
In subjects aged 95 or over, poor functional status and history of heart failure were the two independent risk factors for 3-year mortality.
Formiga
F
F
Geriatric Unit, Hospital Universitari de Bellvitge, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat 08907, Barcelona, Spain. fformiga@bellvitgehospital.cat
Ferrer
A
A
Montero
A
A
Chivite
D
D
Pujol
R
R
D000203:Activities of Daily Living; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D000375:Aging / Q000502:physiology*; D015331:Cohort Studies; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D016330:Frail Elderly; D015577:Geriatric Assessment; D006333:Heart Failure / Q000401:mortality*; D006801:Humans; D008017:Life Expectancy; D008297:Male; D009026:Mortality; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D016016:Proportional Hazards Models; D011446:Prospective Studies; D018570:Risk Assessment; D012307:Risk Factors