Case definition for Ebola and Marburg haemorrhagic fevers: a complex challenge for epidemiologists and clinicians.
Viral haemorrhagic fevers (VHFs) represent a challenge for public health because of their epidemic potential, and their possible use as bioterrorism agents poses particular concern. In 1999 the World Health Organization (WHO) proposed a case definition for VHFs, subsequently adopted by other international institutions with the aim of early detection of initial cases/outbreaks in western countries. We applied this case definition to reports of Ebola and Marburg virus infections to estimate its sensitivity to detect cases of the disease. We analyzed clinical descriptions of 795 reported cases of Ebola haemorrhagic fever: only 58.5% of patients met the proposed case definition. A similar figure was obtained reviewing 169 cases of Marburg diseases, of which only 64.5% were in accordance with the case definition. In conclusion, the WHO case definition for hemorrhagic fevers is too specific and has poor sensitivity both for case finding during Ebola or Marburg outbreaks, and for early detection of suspected cases in western countries. It can lead to a hazardous number of false negatives and its use should be discouraged for early detection of cases.
Pittalis
Silvia
S
Epidemiological and Pre-clinical Research Department, National Institute for Infectious Diseases (INMI) "L. Spallanzani", Rome, Italy. pittalis@inmi.it
Fusco
Francesco Maria
FM
Lanini
Simone
S
Nisii
Carla
C
Puro
Vincenzo
V
Lauria
Francesco Nicola
FN
Ippolito
Giuseppe
G
D000818:Animals; D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D019142:Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000503:physiopathology / Q000635:transmission / Q000821:virology; D006801:Humans; D008379:Marburg Virus Disease / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000503:physiopathology / Q000635:transmission / Q000821:virology; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D014944:World Health Organization