Predicting recidivism with the Personality Assessment Inventory in a sample of sex offenders screened for civil commitment as sexually violent predators.
We examined the ability of scores from the Personality Assessment Inventory (PAI; Morey, 1991) to predict postrelease (M = 4.90 years follow-up) arrests in a sample of 1,412 sex offenders. We focused on scores from 4 PAI measures conceptually relevant to offending, including the Antisocial Features (ANT), Aggression (AGG), and Dominance (DOM) scales, as well as the Violence Potential Index (VPI). Scores from several PAI measures demonstrated small- to medium-sized effects in predicting violent nonsexual recidivism, nonviolent recidivism, and sex offender registry violations, with the AGG scale being the strongest (d = 0.50 for violent nonsexual recidivism, d = 0.55 for sex offender registry violations) and most consistent predictor of recidivism.
Department of Psychology, Sam Houston State University, Huntsville, TX 77341, USA. boccaccini@shsu.edu
Marcus T
MT
Boccaccini
Daniel C
DC
Murrie
Samuel W
SW
Hawes
Amber
A
Simpler
Jeremy
J
Johnson
D000374:Aggression / Q000523:psychology; D000987:Antisocial Personality Disorder / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000523:psychology; D003134:Commitment of Persons with Psychiatric Disorders / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence*; D003617:Dangerous Behavior; D004291:Dominance-Subordination; D005106:Exploratory Behavior; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008403:Mass Screening / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence* / Q000523:psychology*; D010552:Personality Assessment / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D011329:Prisoners / Q000523:psychology*; D011446:Prospective Studies; D011594:Psychometrics / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D012008:Recurrence; D012042:Registries; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D018570:Risk Assessment / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence*; D012742:Sex Offenses / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence* / Q000523:psychology*; D013781:Texas; D014754:Violence / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence* / Q000523:psychology*