title: Diagnosing acute myocardial infarction with troponins: how low can you go?
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Recent consensus guidelines state that acute myocardial infarction (AMI) may be diagnosed in the context of a troponin rise above the 99th percentile of the upper reference limit (URL) with the optimal imprecision of the assay (coefficient of variation, CV) being <or=10%. However, at the 99th percentile, modern assays do not have a CV <or=10%. Objective The authors compared the prognostic implications of placing the diagnostic troponin cut-off at the 99th percentile and at the lowest concentration with a CV <or=10% (functional sensitivity).
  
  
  METHODS
  The authors prospectively recruited 804 patients presenting to the Emergency Department of a university-affiliated teaching hospital with suspected ACS. All patients underwent 12 h troponin T testing and were followed up by telephone and chart review. Outcomes Death or AMI (excluding the index event) and the occurrence of major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) within 6 months.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Troponin T elevation below the functional sensitivity predicted the risk of death and AMI (adjusted OR 4.6, p=0.039) and MACE (adjusted OR 11.10, p<0.0001) independently of the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction risk score and creatinine levels. Utilising the 99th percentile cut-off, an extra 17 MACEs could be predicted per 1000 patients treated at a cost of identifying 11 patients who would not have developed an event.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  The results suggest that adopting the lower troponin cut-off would reduce the proportion of 'false negatives' (patients with negative troponin who develop MACE) from 9.6% to 8.9%. Whether this reduction in 'false negatives' justifies the increase in 'false positives' warrants further investigation and discussion.
authors.affiliation: Emergency Department, Hope Hospital, Stott Lane, Salford, Manchester M6 8HD, UK. rbody@doctors.org.uk
authors.forename: Richard
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Body
authors.forename: Garry
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: McDowell
authors.forename: Simon
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Carley
authors.forename: Jamie
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Ferguson
authors.forename: Kevin
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Mackway-Jones
mesh_terms: D000208:Acute Disease; D000368:Aged; D015415:Biomarkers / Q000097:blood; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D009203:Myocardial Infarction / Q000175:diagnosis*; D012015:Reference Standards; D009626:Terminology as Topic; D020107:Troponin T / Q000097:blood*
chemical_list: D015415:Biomarkers; D020107:Troponin T