What will happen to retirement income for 401(k) participants after the market decline?
This paper uses administrative data from millions of 401(k) participants dating back to 1996 as well as several simulation models to determine 401(k) plans' susceptibility to several alleged limitations as well as its potential for significant retirement wealth accumulation for employees working for employers who have chosen to sponsor these plans. What will happen to 401(k) participants after the 2008 market decline will be largely determined by the extent to which the features of automatic enrollment, automatic escalation of contributions, and automatic investment are allowed to play out. Simulation results suggest that the first two features will significantly improve retirement wealth for the lowest-income quartiles going forward, and the third feature (primarily target-date funds) suggest that a large percentage of those on the verge of retirement would benefit significantly by a reduction of equity concentrations to a more age-appropriate level.
VanDerhei
Jack
J
Employee Benefit Research Institute, Washington, DC 20005, USA. vanderhei@ebri.org
D000328:Adult; D000367:Age Factors; D000368:Aged; D057172:Economic Recession / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D006801:Humans; D007182:Income / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D008875:Middle Aged; D010415:Pensions / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D012179:Retirement / Q000191:economics / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D013997:Time Factors; D014481:United States