title: Prediction of response to disease modifying antirheumatic drugs in rheumatoid arthritis.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To investigate potential predictors of response to conventional DMARDs in RA.
  
  
  METHODS
  Study design - 6-month follow-up prospective study.
  
  
  METHODS
  RA patients with active disease. INTERVENTION AND FOLLOW-UP: Introduction of one DMARD. Response to treatment evaluated at 6 months (ACR20 criteria).
  
  
  METHODS
  Potential predictors of response, patients' demographics, disease activity, percentages of PBMC subsets expressing P-gp, serum IL-1β, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12, TNF-α levels, were evaluated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. ROC curve analyses were performed in order to obtain thresholds allowing the prediction of response.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Forty-two patients (mean age = 57 ± 13 years, mean disease duration = 5.4 ± 7.2 years) were included. MTX was given to 30. The response to therapy was predicted by the baseline serum level of TNF-α (mean = 30.2 pg/ml ± 18 in non-responders vs. 11.9 pg/ml ± 11.2 in responders). The threshold, which predicted with the best accuracy the response to treatment, was 20.1 pg/ml (sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of 75, 78.9, 83.3, and 69.2%, respectively; AUC = 80.3%, 95% CI = 62.8-97.7%). Similar results were obtained in the subgroups of patients treated with MTX and patients with early RA of less than 3 years duration.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  In the present work, the serum concentration of TNF-α was related to further response to DMARDs. Other works are needed for confirmation and to assess whether such biomarker could be used to predict the response to DMARDs at the individual level.
authors.affiliation: Inserm U887, Department of rheumatology, hôpital Général, Dijon University Hospital, University of Burgundy, 3, rue du Fb-Raines, 21078 Dijon, France. jean-francis.maillefert@chu-dijon.fr
authors.forename: Jean-Francis
authors.initials: JF
authors.lastname: Maillefert
authors.forename: Xavier
authors.initials: X
authors.lastname: Puéchal
authors.forename: Géraldine
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Falgarone
authors.forename: Gérard
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Lizard
authors.forename: Paul
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Ornetti
authors.forename: Elisabeth
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Solau
authors.forename: Virginie
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Legré
authors.forename: Frédéric
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Lioté
authors.forename: Jean
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Sibilia
authors.forename: Jacques
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Morel
authors.forename: Marc
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Maynadié
mesh_terms: D018501:Antirheumatic Agents / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D019540:Area Under Curve; D001172:Arthritis, Rheumatoid / Q000097:blood* / Q000188:drug therapy* / Q000503:physiopathology; D015415:Biomarkers / Q000097:blood; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D007596:Joints / Q000473:pathology / Q000503:physiopathology; D007963:Leukocytes, Mononuclear / Q000187:drug effects / Q000378:metabolism; D016015:Logistic Models; D008297:Male; D008727:Methotrexate / Q000627:therapeutic use; D008875:Middle Aged; D027425:ATP-Binding Cassette, Sub-Family C Proteins / Q000378:metabolism; D010146:Pain / Q000503:physiopathology; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012372:ROC Curve; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D012720:Severity of Illness Index; D016896:Treatment Outcome; D014409:Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha / Q000097:blood*
chemical_list: D018501:Antirheumatic Agents; D015415:Biomarkers; D008727:Methotrexate; D027425:ATP-Binding Cassette, Sub-Family C Proteins; D014409:Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha