title: The Munich 15-year follow-up study (MUFUSSAD) on first-hospitalized patients with schizophrenic or affective disorders: comparison of psychopathological and psychosocial course and outcome and prediction of chronicity.
abstract: Given the limited explanatory power of the available neurobiological findings, results of long-term follow-up studies should still be considered as one criterion among others in the development of psychiatric classification systems regarding schizophrenia and affective disorders. A total of 323 first hospitalized inpatients of the Psychiatric Department of the University Munich were recruited at index time and followed up after 15 years. The full follow-up evaluation including several standardized assessment procedures (AMDP, PANSS, SANS, DAS, GAS) could be performed in 197 patients. The patients originally diagnosed according to ICD-9 were re-diagnosed according to ICD-10 and DSM-IV, using SCID among others. Schizophrenic patients had a much poorer outcome than affective or schizoaffective patients in terms of negative syndrome, deficit syndrome, psychosocial impairments and GAS results, and a higher prevalence of a chronic course. The logistic regression analyses performed to find optimized predictor combinations for the prognosis of a chronic course found, for example, the total Strauss-Carpenter Scale score, male gender and several other psychopathological syndromes to be relevant predictors. The findings reflect some long-term related validity for the differentiation between schizophrenia and affective disorders. The Strauss-Carpenter Scale, male gender as well as several psychopathological syndromes are the most relevant predictors for chronicity.
authors.affiliation: Department of Psychiatry, University of Munich, Nussbaumstrasse 7, 80336, Munich, Germany. hans-juergen.moeller@med.uni-muenchen.de
authors.forename: Hans-Jürgen
authors.initials: HJ
authors.lastname: Möller
authors.forename: Markus
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Jäger
authors.forename: Michael
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Riedel
authors.forename: Michael
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Obermeier
authors.forename: Anton
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Strauss
authors.forename: Ronald
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Bottlender
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D005260:Female; D005858:Germany / Q000453:epidemiology; D006760:Hospitalization / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D006801:Humans; D038801:International Classification of Diseases; D008137:Longitudinal Studies; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D019964:Mood Disorders / Q000503:physiopathology* / Q000523:psychology*; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011569:Psychiatric Status Rating Scales; D011584:Psychology; D011599:Psychopathology; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D012559:Schizophrenia / Q000503:physiopathology*; D012565:Schizophrenic Psychology; D016896:Treatment Outcome; D055815:Young Adult