title: Prognostic factors in patients with advanced biliary tract cancer receiving chemotherapy.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  Prognostic factors for patients with advanced biliary tract cancer receiving chemotherapy are presently not well established. Gallbladder cancer and intra-hepatic cholangiocarcinoma are previously reported prognostic factors of poor prognosis; however, tumor volume has not been analyzed in these previous reports.
  
  
  METHODS
  We analyzed 56 consecutive patients with advanced biliary tract cancer who had received gemcitabine and S-1 combination chemotherapy as first-line palliative chemotherapy. Prognostic factors, including the baseline sum longest diameter (BSLD) representing tumor volume in Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumor, were evaluated.
  
  
  RESULTS
  By multivariate analysis, age ≥70 (HR 3.01, 95% CI 1.25-7.31, P = 0.014) and larger BSLD (HR 1.09, 95% CI 1.01-1.18, P = 0.021) were statistically significant independent predictors of poor prognosis. Primary biliary site was not identified as a prognostic factor (P = 0.728). Median survival times of patients with BSLDs ≤ 9.0 cm and BSLDs > 9.0 cm were 18.7 and 8.8 months, respectively (P = 0.024).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Age and BSLD were identified as strong prognostic factors for patients with advanced biliary tract cancer receiving chemotherapy. Tumor volume might be more important than primary biliary site for the prognosis of advanced biliary tract cancer.
authors.affiliation: Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8655, Japan.
authors.forename: Takashi
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Sasaki
authors.forename: Hiroyuki
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Isayama
authors.forename: Yousuke
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Nakai
authors.forename: Osamu
authors.initials: O
authors.lastname: Togawa
authors.forename: Hirofumi
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Kogure
authors.forename: Yukiko
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Ito
authors.forename: Keisuke
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Yamamoto
authors.forename: Suguru
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Mizuno
authors.forename: Hiroshi
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Yagioka
authors.forename: Yoko
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Yashima
authors.forename: Kazumichi
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Kawakubo
authors.forename: Toshihiko
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Arizumi
authors.forename: Saburo
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Matsubara
authors.forename: Naoki
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Sasahira
authors.forename: Kenji
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Hirano
authors.forename: Takeshi
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Tsujino
authors.forename: Nobuo
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Toda
authors.forename: Minoru
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Tada
authors.forename: Masao
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Omata
authors.forename: Kazuhiko
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Koike
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D000367:Age Factors; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D000971:Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D001661:Biliary Tract Neoplasms / Q000188:drug therapy* / Q000473:pathology; D003841:Deoxycytidine / Q000008:administration & dosage / Q000031:analogs & derivatives; D004338:Drug Combinations; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D010094:Oxonic Acid / Q000008:administration & dosage; D010166:Palliative Care / Q000379:methods*; D011379:Prognosis; D015996:Survival Rate; D005641:Tegafur / Q000008:administration & dosage; D047368:Tumor Burden / Q000187:drug effects*; D055815:Young Adult; D000093542:Gemcitabine
chemical_list: D004338:Drug Combinations; D003841:Deoxycytidine; C079198:S 1 (combination); D005641:Tegafur; D010094:Oxonic Acid; D000093542:Gemcitabine