title: Quantitative serum HBsAg and HBeAg are strong predictors of sustained HBeAg seroconversion to pegylated interferon alfa-2b in HBeAg-positive patients.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To evaluate the usefulness of quantitative hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) for predicting HBeAg seroconversion in chronic hepatitis B patients treated with conventional interferon (IFN) alfa-2b or PegIFN alfa-2b.
  
  
  METHODS
  Fifty-eight patients were enrolled; 29 for the training group and 29 for the validating group. Quantification of HBsAg and HBeAg was carried out at baseline, week 12, week 24, and then again at 12 and 24 weeks follow up, respectively, for two groups. Sixteen patients in the training group were followed up for 5 years.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The cutoff of 1500 IU/mL in serum HBsAg at week 12 had a positive predictive value (PPV) of 33% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 91%, and 2890 IU/mL at week 24 had a PPV of 43% and an NPV of 95% for HBeAg seroconversion at week 48. The cutoff of 17.55 Paul Ehrlich Institute units/mL (PEI-U/mL) in serum HBeAg at week 12 had a PPV of 38% and an NPV of 95%, and 8.52 PEI-U/mL at week 24 had a PPV of 44% and a NPV of 100% for HBeAg seroconversion at week 48. Moreover the HBsAg and HBeAg levels of PegIFN alfa-2b group were lower than those of the conventional IFN alfa-2b group. During follow up, patients with HBeAg seroconversion remained HBeAg negative and none of them progressed to cirrhosis, but among the patients with non-HBeAg seroconversion, two progressed to cirrhosis. Two additional patients with negative HBeAg were observed.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  On-treatment serum HBsAg and HBeAg had high predictive values to predict sustained HBeAg seroconversion by PegIFN alfa-2b. Patients who cleared HBeAg had better survival free of hepatic complications during long-term follow-up study.
authors.affiliation: Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Hepatology Institute, Beijing, China.
authors.forename: Hui
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Ma
authors.forename: Rui-Feng
authors.initials: RF
authors.lastname: Yang
authors.forename: Lai
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Wei
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D000998:Antiviral Agents / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D015415:Biomarkers / Q000097:blood; D016009:Chi-Square Distribution; D002681:China; D018572:Disease-Free Survival; D005260:Female; D005838:Genotype; D006514:Hepatitis B Surface Antigens / Q000097:blood*; D006513:Hepatitis B e Antigens / Q000097:blood*; D006515:Hepatitis B virus / Q000235:genetics / Q000276:immunology*; D019694:Hepatitis B, Chronic / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000188:drug therapy*; D006801:Humans; D000077190:Interferon alpha-2; D016898:Interferon-alpha / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D008297:Male; D011092:Polyethylene Glycols / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D012372:ROC Curve; D011994:Recombinant Proteins; D013997:Time Factors; D016896:Treatment Outcome; D019562:Viral Load; D055815:Young Adult
chemical_list: D000998:Antiviral Agents; D015415:Biomarkers; D006514:Hepatitis B Surface Antigens; D006513:Hepatitis B e Antigens; D000077190:Interferon alpha-2; D016898:Interferon-alpha; D011994:Recombinant Proteins; D011092:Polyethylene Glycols; C417083:peginterferon alfa-2b