title: Prediction of sustained response to peginterferon alfa-2b for hepatitis B e antigen-positive chronic hepatitis B using on-treatment hepatitis B surface antigen decline.
abstract: Serum hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) levels may reflect the immunomodulatory efficacy of pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN). We investigated within a large randomized trial whether quantitative HBsAg levels predict response to PEG-IFN in patients with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B. Serum HBsAg was measured in samples taken at baseline and weeks 4, 8, 12, 24, 52, and 78 of 221 patients treated with PEG-IFN alfa-2b with or without lamivudine for 52 weeks. HBsAg decline was compared between treatment arms and between responders and nonresponders. Response was defined as HBeAg loss with HBV DNA < 10,000 copies/mL at 26 weeks after treatment (week 78); 43 of 221 (19%) patients achieved a response. One year of PEG-IFN with or without lamivudine resulted in a significant decline in serum HBsAg, which was sustained after treatment (decline 0.9 log IU/mL at week 78, P < 0.001). Patients treated with combination therapy experienced a more pronounced on-treatment decline, but relapsed subsequently. Responders experienced a significantly more pronounced decline in serum HBsAg compared to nonresponders (decline at week 52: 3.3 versus 0.7 log IU/mL, P < 0.001). Patients who achieved no decline at week 12 had a 97% probability of nonresponse through posttreatment follow-up and no chance of HBsAg loss. In a representative subset of 149 patients similar results were found for prediction through long-term (mean 3.0 years) follow-up.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  PEG-IFN induces a significant decline in serum HBsAg in HBeAg-positive patients. Patients who experience no decline from baseline at week 12 have little chance of achieving a sustained response and no chance of HBsAg loss and should be advised to discontinue therapy with PEG-IFN.
authors.affiliation: Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
authors.forename: Milan J
authors.initials: MJ
authors.lastname: Sonneveld
authors.forename: Vincent
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Rijckborst
authors.forename: Charles A B
authors.initials: CA
authors.lastname: Boucher
authors.forename: Bettina E
authors.initials: BE
authors.lastname: Hansen
authors.forename: Harry L A
authors.initials: HL
authors.lastname: Janssen
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D000998:Antiviral Agents / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D004279:DNA, Viral / Q000032:analysis / Q000187:drug effects; D004359:Drug Therapy, Combination; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006514:Hepatitis B Surface Antigens / Q000097:blood; D006513:Hepatitis B e Antigens / Q000097:blood*; D006515:Hepatitis B virus / Q000235:genetics; D019694:Hepatitis B, Chronic / Q000188:drug therapy*; D006801:Humans; D000077190:Interferon alpha-2; D016898:Interferon-alpha / Q000008:administration & dosage / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D019259:Lamivudine / Q000008:administration & dosage / Q000627:therapeutic use; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011092:Polyethylene Glycols / Q000008:administration & dosage / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011994:Recombinant Proteins; D012008:Recurrence; D016896:Treatment Outcome
chemical_list: D000998:Antiviral Agents; D004279:DNA, Viral; D006514:Hepatitis B Surface Antigens; D006513:Hepatitis B e Antigens; D000077190:Interferon alpha-2; D016898:Interferon-alpha; D011994:Recombinant Proteins; D019259:Lamivudine; D011092:Polyethylene Glycols; C417083:peginterferon alfa-2b