title: On the use of published radiobiological parameters and the evaluation of NTCP models regarding lung pneumonitis in clinical breast radiotherapy.
abstract: In this study we sought to evaluate and accent the importance of radiobiological parameter selection and implementation to the normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models. The relative seriality (RS) and the Lyman-Kutcher-Burman (LKB) models were studied. For each model, a minimum and maximum set of radiobiological parameter sets was selected from the overall published sets applied in literature and a theoretical mean parameter set was computed. In order to investigate the potential model weaknesses in NTCP estimation and to point out the correct use of model parameters, these sets were used as input to the RS and the LKB model, estimating radiation induced complications for a group of 36 breast cancer patients treated with radiotherapy. The clinical endpoint examined was Radiation Pneumonitis. Each model was represented by a certain dose-response range when the selected parameter sets were applied. Comparing the models with their ranges, a large area of coincidence was revealed. If the parameter uncertainties (standard deviation) are included in the models, their area of coincidence might be enlarged, constraining even greater their predictive ability. The selection of the proper radiobiological parameter set for a given clinical endpoint is crucial. Published parameter values are not definite but should be accompanied by uncertainties, and one should be very careful when applying them to the NTCP models. Correct selection and proper implementation of published parameters provides a quite accurate fit of the NTCP models to the considered endpoint.
authors.affiliation: Medical Physics Department, University Hospital of Larissa, P.O. Box 1425, 41110, Biopolis, Larissa, Greece, psvolou@med.uth.gr.
authors.forename: Patricia
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Svolos
authors.forename: Ioannis
authors.initials: I
authors.lastname: Tsougos
authors.forename: Georgios
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Kyrgias
authors.forename: Constantine
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Kappas
authors.forename: Kiki
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Theodorou
mesh_terms: D001943:Breast Neoplasms / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000532:radiotherapy*; D015897:Comorbidity; D003198:Computer Simulation; D006801:Humans; D008954:Models, Biological; D010506:Periodicals as Topic / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D016016:Proportional Hazards Models; D017564:Radiation Pneumonitis / Q000453:epidemiology*; D011853:Radiobiology / Q000379:methods; D011879:Radiotherapy Dosage; D018570:Risk Assessment / Q000379:methods; D012307:Risk Factors