title: GIS-based estimation of the winter storm damage probability in forests: a case study from Baden-Wuerttemberg (Southwest Germany).
abstract: Data on storm damage attributed to the two high-impact winter storms 'Wiebke' (28 February 1990) and 'Lothar' (26 December 1999) were used for GIS-based estimation and mapping (in a 50 × 50 m resolution grid) of the winter storm damage probability (P(DAM)) for the forests of the German federal state of Baden-Wuerttemberg (Southwest Germany). The P(DAM)-calculation was based on weights of evidence (WofE) methodology. A combination of information on forest type, geology, soil type, soil moisture regime, and topographic exposure, as well as maximum gust wind speed field was used to compute P(DAM) across the entire study area. Given the condition that maximum gust wind speed during the two storm events exceeded 35 m s(-1), the highest P(DAM) values computed were primarily where coniferous forest grows in severely exposed areas on temporarily moist soils on bunter sandstone formations. Such areas are found mainly in the mountainous ranges of the northern Black Forest, the eastern Forest of Odes, in the Virngrund area, and in the southwestern Alpine Foothills.
authors.affiliation: Meteorological Institute, Albert-Ludwigs-University of Freiburg, Werthmannstr. 10, Freiburg, 79085, Germany. dirk.schindler@meteo.uni-freiburg.de
authors.forename: Dirk
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Schindler
authors.forename: Karin
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Grebhan
authors.forename: Axel
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Albrecht
authors.forename: Jochen
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Schönborn
authors.forename: Ulrich
authors.initials: U
authors.lastname: Kohnle
mesh_terms: D040362:Geographic Information Systems; D005858:Germany; D008377:Maps as Topic; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D012621:Seasons; D014197:Trees; D014887:Weather; D014919:Wind