A new method for monitoring and forecasting the case-fatality rate in ongoing epidemics and its evaluation using published data of SARS in 2003, H1N1 pandemic in 2009/2010, hand-foot-mouth disease in China in 2009/2010, and cholera in Haiti in 2010.
National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo 162-8640, Japan. yoshikura-hiroshi@mhlw.go.jp
Hiroshi
H
Yoshikura
D002681:China / Q000453:epidemiology; D002771:Cholera / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000401:mortality*; D058872:Epidemics / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D004812:Epidemiologic Methods; D006205:Haiti / Q000453:epidemiology; D006232:Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000401:mortality*; D006801:Humans; D053118:Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype; D007251:Influenza, Human / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000401:mortality*; D058873:Pandemics; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D018570:Risk Assessment; D045473:Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus; D045169:Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000401:mortality*; D015996:Survival Rate