title: The AFHSC-Division of GEIS Operations Predictive Surveillance Program: a multidisciplinary approach for the early detection and response to disease outbreaks.
abstract: The Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center, Division of Global Emerging Infections Surveillance and Response System Operations (AFHSC-GEIS) initiated a coordinated, multidisciplinary program to link data sets and information derived from eco-climatic remote sensing activities, ecologic niche modeling, arthropod vector, animal disease-host/reservoir, and human disease surveillance for febrile illnesses, into a predictive surveillance program that generates advisories and alerts on emerging infectious disease outbreaks. The program's ultimate goal is pro-active public health practice through pre-event preparedness, prevention and control, and response decision-making and prioritization. This multidisciplinary program is rooted in over 10 years experience in predictive surveillance for Rift Valley fever outbreaks in Eastern Africa. The AFHSC-GEIS Rift Valley fever project is based on the identification and use of disease-emergence critical detection points as reliable signals for increased outbreak risk. The AFHSC-GEIS predictive surveillance program has formalized the Rift Valley fever project into a structured template for extending predictive surveillance capability to other Department of Defense (DoD)-priority vector- and water-borne, and zoonotic diseases and geographic areas. These include leishmaniasis, malaria, and Crimea-Congo and other viral hemorrhagic fevers in Central Asia and Africa, dengue fever in Asia and the Americas, Japanese encephalitis (JE) and chikungunya fever in Asia, and rickettsial and other tick-borne infections in the U.S., Africa and Asia.
authors.affiliation: Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center, 503 Robert Grant Avenue, Silver Spring, MD 20910, USA. clara.witt@us.army.mil
authors.forename: Clara J
authors.initials: CJ
authors.lastname: Witt
authors.forename: Allen L
authors.initials: AL
authors.lastname: Richards
authors.forename: Penny M
authors.initials: PM
authors.lastname: Masuoka
authors.forename: Desmond H
authors.initials: DH
authors.lastname: Foley
authors.forename: Anna L
authors.initials: AL
authors.lastname: Buczak
authors.forename: Lillian A
authors.initials: LA
authors.lastname: Musila
authors.forename: Jason H
authors.initials: JH
authors.lastname: Richardson
authors.forename: Michelle G
authors.initials: MG
authors.lastname: Colacicco-Mayhugh
authors.forename: Leopoldo M
authors.initials: LM
authors.lastname: Rueda
authors.forename: Terry A
authors.initials: TA
authors.lastname: Klein
authors.forename: Assaf
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Anyamba
authors.forename: Jennifer
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Small
authors.forename: Julie A
authors.initials: JA
authors.lastname: Pavlin
authors.forename: Mark M
authors.initials: MM
authors.lastname: Fukuda
authors.forename: Joel
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Gaydos
authors.forename: Kevin L
authors.initials: KL
authors.lastname: Russell
authors.forename: Richard C
authors.initials: RC
authors.lastname: Wilkerson
authors.forename: Robert V
authors.initials: RV
authors.lastname: Gibbons
authors.forename: Richard G
authors.initials: RG
authors.lastname: Jarman
authors.forename: Khin S
authors.initials: KS
authors.lastname: Myint
authors.forename: Brian
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Pendergast
authors.forename: Sheri
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Lewis
authors.forename: Jorge E
authors.initials: JE
authors.lastname: Pinzon
authors.forename: Kathrine
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Collins
authors.forename: Matthew
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Smith
authors.forename: Edwin
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Pak
authors.forename: Compton
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Tucker
authors.forename: Kenneth
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Linthicum
authors.forename: Todd
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Myers
authors.forename: Moustafa
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Mansour
authors.forename: Ken
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Earhart
authors.forename: Heung Chul
authors.initials: HC
authors.lastname: Kim
authors.forename: Ju
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Jiang
authors.forename: Dave
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Schnabel
authors.forename: Jeffrey W
authors.initials: JW
authors.lastname: Clark
authors.forename: Rosemary C
authors.initials: RC
authors.lastname: Sang
authors.forename: Elizabeth
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Kioko
authors.forename: David C
authors.initials: DC
authors.lastname: Abuom
authors.forename: John P
authors.initials: JP
authors.lastname: Grieco
authors.forename: Erin E
authors.initials: EE
authors.lastname: Richards
authors.forename: Steven
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Tobias
authors.forename: Matthew R
authors.initials: MR
authors.lastname: Kasper
authors.forename: Joel M
authors.initials: JM
authors.lastname: Montgomery
authors.forename: Dave
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Florin
authors.forename: Jean-Paul
authors.initials: JP
authors.lastname: Chretien
authors.forename: Trudy L
authors.initials: TL
authors.lastname: Philip
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D003140:Communicable Disease Control; D003141:Communicable Diseases / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000453:epidemiology; D003657:Decision Making; D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000517:prevention & control*; D042241:Early Diagnosis; D014943:Global Health; D006801:Humans; D033183:Interdisciplinary Communication; D008887:Military Medicine; D018571:Sentinel Surveillance; D015047:Zoonoses