title: A general model for mortality in adult tsetse (Glossina spp.).
abstract: Tsetse exhibit a U-shaped age-mortality curve, with high losses after eclosion and a well-marked ageing process, which is particularly dramatic in males. A three-parameter (k(1) -k(3) ) model for age-dependent adult instantaneous mortality rates was constructed using mark-recapture data for the tsetse fly Glossina morsitans morsitans Westwood (Diptera: Glossinidae). Mortality changed linearly with k(1)  over all ages; k(2)  affected only losses in roughly the first week of adult life, and k(3)  controlled the ageing rate. Mortality pooled over age was twice as sensitive to changes in k(3)  as in k(1) . Population growth rate was, however, similarly affected by these two parameters, reflecting the disproportionate effect of k(3)  on mortality in the oldest flies that contribute least to the growth rate. Pooled-age mortality and growth rate were insensitive to changes in k(2) . The same model also provided good fits to data for laboratory colonies of female G. m. morsitans and Glossina austeni Newstead and should be applicable to all tsetse of both sexes. The new model for tsetse mortality should be incorporated into models of tsetse and trypanosome population dynamics; it will also inform the estimation of adult female mortality from ovarian dissection data.
authors.affiliation: South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA), University of Stellenbosch, South Africa. jhargrove@sun.ac.za
authors.forename: J W
authors.initials: JW
authors.lastname: Hargrove
authors.forename: R
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Ouifki
authors.forename: J E
authors.initials: JE
authors.lastname: Ameh
mesh_terms: D000367:Age Factors; D000818:Animals; D002417:Cattle; D002418:Cattle Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000635:transmission; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008954:Models, Biological; D009026:Mortality; D011157:Population Dynamics; D013997:Time Factors; D014345:Trypanosoma; D014352:Trypanosomiasis / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000635:transmission / Q000662:veterinary*; D014370:Tsetse Flies / Q000469:parasitology / Q000502:physiology*; D015030:Zimbabwe / Q000453:epidemiology