title: A case for assessment of oscillatory breathing during cardiopulmonary exercise test in risk stratification of elderly patients with chronic heart failure.
abstract: The prognostic value of exercise oscillatory breathing (EOB) during cardiopulmonary test (CPX) has been described in young chronic heart failure (HF) patients. We assessed the prognostic role of EOB vs other clinical and ventilatory parameters in elderly HF patients performing a maximal CPX.
  
  
  RESULTS
  We prospectively followed-up 370 HF outpatients ≥ 65 years after a symptom limited CPX. We tested the predictive value of clinical and ventilatory parameters for all-cause mortality and a composite of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalizations. Median age was 74 years, 51% had ischemic heart disease, 25% NYHA class III; ejection fraction was 41% [34-50]. Peak oxygen consumption (PVO(2)) was 11.9 [9.9-14] mL/kg/min, the slope of the regression line relating ventilation to CO(2) output, (VE/VCO(2) slope) was 33.9 [29.8-39.2]. EOB was found in 58% of patients. At follow-up, 84 patients died and overall 158, using a time-to-first event approach, met the composite end-point. Independent predictors of all-cause mortality were CPX EOB and the ratio of VE/VCO(2) slope to peak VO(2), hemoglobin, creatinine and body mass index. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the Cox multivariable model was 0.80 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.87). Independent predictors of the composite end-point were EOB, VE/VCO(2) slope, hemoglobin and HF admissions in the previous year (Model AUC 0.75) (95% CI 0.69 to 0.81).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Among elderly HF patients, EOB prevalence is higher than middle-aged cohorts. EOB and the ratio of VE/VCO(2) slope to peak VO(2) resulted the strongest ventilatory predictor of all-cause mortality, independent of ventricular function.
authors.affiliation: Cardiology, S Spirito Hospital, Rome, Italy. ab.scardovi@libero.it
authors.forename: Angela Beatrice
authors.initials: AB
authors.lastname: Scardovi
authors.forename: Renata
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: De Maria
authors.forename: Alessandro
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Ferraironi
authors.forename: Laura
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Gatto
authors.forename: Andrea
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Celestini
authors.forename: Silvia
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Forte
authors.forename: Marina
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Parolini
authors.forename: Sebastiano
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Sciarretta
authors.forename: Roberto
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Ricci
authors.forename: Marco
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Guazzi
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D002908:Chronic Disease; D005080:Exercise Test / Q000379:methods*; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006333:Heart Failure / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000401:mortality / Q000503:physiopathology*; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D010101:Oxygen Consumption; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012123:Pulmonary Ventilation; D012119:Respiration; D018570:Risk Assessment