title: Prediction of problematic wine fermentations using artificial neural networks.
abstract: Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been used for the recognition of non-linear patterns, a characteristic of bioprocesses like wine production. In this work, ANNs were tested to predict problems of wine fermentation. A database of about 20,000 data from industrial fermentations of Cabernet Sauvignon and 33 variables was used. Two different ways of inputting data into the model were studied, by points and by fermentation. Additionally, different sub-cases were studied by varying the predictor variables (total sugar, alcohol, glycerol, density, organic acids and nitrogen compounds) and the time of fermentation (72, 96 and 256 h). The input of data by fermentations gave better results than the input of data by points. In fact, it was possible to predict 100% of normal and problematic fermentations using three predictor variables: sugars, density and alcohol at 72 h (3 days). Overall, ANNs were capable of obtaining 80% of prediction using only one predictor variable at 72 h; however, it is recommended to add more fermentations to confirm this promising result.
authors.affiliation: Escuela de Ingeniería Industrial, Universidad de Valparaíso, Av. Brasil 1762, Valparaiso, Chile.
authors.forename: R César
authors.initials: RC
authors.lastname: Román
authors.forename: O Gonzalo
authors.initials: OG
authors.lastname: Hernández
authors.forename: U Alejandra
authors.initials: UA
authors.lastname: Urtubia
mesh_terms: D000438:Alcohols / Q000737:chemistry; D000465:Algorithms; D000596:Amino Acids / Q000737:chemistry; D005285:Fermentation; D019649:Food Industry; D005990:Glycerol / Q000737:chemistry; D015233:Models, Statistical; D016571:Neural Networks, Computer; D009584:Nitrogen / Q000737:chemistry; D009930:Organic Chemicals / Q000737:chemistry; D012372:ROC Curve; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D012984:Software; D013997:Time Factors; D014920:Wine
chemical_list: D000438:Alcohols; D000596:Amino Acids; D009930:Organic Chemicals; D009584:Nitrogen; D005990:Glycerol