title: A primer for data assimilation with ecological models using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).
abstract: Data assimilation, or the fusion of a mathematical model with ecological data, is rapidly expanding knowledge of ecological systems across multiple spatial and temporal scales. As the amount of ecological data available to a broader audience increases, quantitative proficiency with data assimilation tools and techniques will be an essential skill for ecological analysis in this data-rich era. We provide a data assimilation primer for the novice user by (1) reviewing data assimilation terminology and methodology, (2) showcasing a variety of data assimilation studies across the ecological, environmental, and atmospheric sciences with the aim of gaining an understanding of potential applications of data assimilation, and (3) applying data assimilation in specific ecological examples to determine the components of net ecosystem carbon uptake in a forest and also the population dynamics of the mayfly (Hexagenia limbata, Serville). The review and examples are then used to provide guiding principles to newly proficient data assimilation practitioners.
authors.affiliation: Department of Mathematics, Augsburg College, Minneapolis, MN 55454, USA. zobitz@augsburg.edu
authors.forename: J M
authors.initials: JM
authors.lastname: Zobitz
authors.forename: A R
authors.initials: AR
authors.lastname: Desai
authors.forename: D J P
authors.initials: DJ
authors.lastname: Moore
authors.forename: M A
authors.initials: MA
authors.lastname: Chadwick
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D059001:Aquatic Organisms / Q000254:growth & development / Q000502:physiology*; D003627:Data Interpretation, Statistical; D004463:Ecology / Q000379:methods* / Q000639:trends; D007313:Insecta / Q000254:growth & development / Q000502:physiology*; D008390:Markov Chains; D008954:Models, Biological; D015233:Models, Statistical; D009010:Monte Carlo Method; D011157:Population Dynamics; D014197:Trees / Q000254:growth & development / Q000502:physiology*