title: [Calculation of regional carbon emission: a case of Guangdong Province].
abstract: By using IPCC carbon emission calculation formula (2006 edition), economy-carbon emission dynamic model, and cement carbon emission model, a regional carbon emission calculation framework was established, and, taking Guangdong Province as a case, its energy consumption carbon emission, cement production CO2 emission, and forest carbon sink values in 2008-2050 were predicted, based on the socio-economic statistical data, energy consumption data, cement production data, and forest carbon sink data of the Province. In 2008-2050, the cement production CO2 emission in the Province would be basically stable, with an annual carbon emission being 10-15 Mt C, the energy consumption carbon emission and the total carbon emission would be in inverse U-shape, with the peaks occurred in 2035 and 2036, respectively, and the carbon emission intensity would be decreased constantly while the forest carbon sink would have a fluctuated decline. It was feasible and reasonable to use the regional carbon emission calculation framework established in this paper to calculate the carbon emission in Guangdong Province.
authors.affiliation: Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China. zsycenu@hotmail.com
authors.forename: Shi-Yan
authors.initials: SY
authors.lastname: Zhai
authors.forename: Zheng
authors.initials: Z
authors.lastname: Wang
authors.forename: Xiao-Zhe
authors.initials: XZ
authors.lastname: Ma
authors.forename: Rui
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Huang
authors.forename: Chang-Xin
authors.initials: CX
authors.lastname: Liu
authors.forename: Yong-Bin
authors.initials: YB
authors.lastname: Zhu
mesh_terms: D000393:Air Pollutants / Q000032:analysis*; D002244:Carbon / Q000032:analysis*; D002681:China; D004736:Energy-Generating Resources / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D017752:Greenhouse Effect; D012987:Soil / Q000032:analysis; D014197:Trees / Q000254:growth & development*
chemical_list: D000393:Air Pollutants; D012987:Soil; D002244:Carbon