title: [Analysis of main risk factors causing foodborne diseases in food catering business].
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To study main risk factors that cause foodborne diseases in food catering business.
  
  
  METHODS
  Data from references and investigations conducted in food catering units were used to establish models which based on @Risk 4.5 with Monte Carlo method referring to food handling practice model (FHPM) to make risk assessment on factors of food contamination in food catering units. The Beta-Poisson models on dose-response relationship to Salmonella (developed by WHO/FAO and United States Department of Agriculture) and Vibrio parahaemolyticus (developed by US FDA) were used in this article to analyze the dose-response relationship of pathogens.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The average probability of food poisoning by consuming Salmonella contaminated cooked meat under refrigeration was 1.96 × 10(-4) which was 1/2800 of the food under non-refrigeration (the average probability of food poisoning was 0.35 at room temperature 25°C). The average probability by consuming 6 hours stored meat under room temperature was 0.11 which was 16 times of 2 hours storage (6.79 × 10(-3)). The average probability by consuming contaminated meat without fully cooking was 1.71 × 10(-4) which was 100 times of consuming fully cooked meat (1.88 × 10(-6)). The probability growth of food poisoning by consuming Vibrio parahaemolyticus contaminated fresh seafood was proportional with contamination level and prevalence.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  The primary contamination level, storage temperature and time, cooking process and cross contamination are important factors of catering food safety.
authors.affiliation: National Institute of Nutrition and Food Safety, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
authors.forename: Yong-xiang
authors.initials: YX
authors.lastname: Fan
authors.forename: Xiu-mei
authors.initials: XM
authors.lastname: Liu
authors.forename: Yi-dan
authors.initials: YD
authors.lastname: Bao
mesh_terms: D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000517:prevention & control*; D005511:Food Handling / Q000379:methods; D005516:Food Microbiology; D005522:Food Services / Q000458:organization & administration*; D005517:Foodborne Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000517:prevention & control*; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D018570:Risk Assessment; D012307:Risk Factors; D012984:Software