Multidimensional ECG-based analysis of cardiac autonomic regulation predicts early AF recurrence after electrical cardioversion.
BACKGROUND
Heart rate turbulence, deceleration capacity (DC), and symbolic dynamics (SD) are promising novel domains of autonomic indices representing the multidimensional qualities of autonomic heart rate dynamics.


OBJECTIVE
The aim of this study was to test the impact of these novel indices in predicting early AF recurrence within the first month after electrical cardioversion (CV).


METHODS
In 45 patients with AF, standard Holter recordings were commenced immediately after CV. Holter-based indices were retrospectively analyzed using computerized algorithms. The best indices were applied in a multivariate model to select the optimal combination set that correctly classified patients who developed early AF recurrence.


RESULTS
Early AF recurrence occurred in 25 vs 20 patients with stable sinus rhythm. The set with the highest predictive power consisted of DC, turbulence onset, VLF/P, and PTH19 as a parameter of SD. The receiver operating curve analysis applied to this optimum set produced an area under the curve of 0.86, thus correctly classifying patients with 95.0% specificity and 76.0% sensitivity.


CONCLUSIONS
The analysis of novel multidimensional Holter-based autonomic indices after CV appears of clinical value because the procedure identifies patients with high risk of early AF recurrence. Furthermore, it indicates a substantial alteration of autonomic regulation.
Department of Cardiology, University Hospital Jena, Jena, Germany. wilma.rademacher@med.uni-jena.de
Wilma
W
Rademacher
Andrea
A
Seeck
Ralf
R
Surber
Alexander
A
Lauten
Dirk
D
Prochnau
Andreas
A
Voss
Hans Reiner
HR
Figulla
D000368:Aged; D000465:Algorithms; D001281:Atrial Fibrillation / Q000503:physiopathology*; D001341:Autonomic Nervous System / Q000503:physiopathology*; D015415:Biomarkers / Q000032:analysis; D016009:Chi-Square Distribution; D016002:Discriminant Analysis; D004554:Electric Countershock; D015716:Electrocardiography, Ambulatory; D005260:Female; D006339:Heart Rate / Q000502:physiology; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D012372:ROC Curve; D012008:Recurrence; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity
D015415:Biomarkers