title: Implications of rapid virological response in hepatitis C therapy in the US veteran population.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Early predictors of response to hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapy, such as rapid virological response, are valuable for the identification of patients with a higher likelihood of treatment success.
  
  
  OBJECTIVE
  To identify predictors of rapid virological response in a real world setting.
  
  
  METHODS
  Using the VA Clinical Case Registry, we identified patients with HCV mono-infection, without liver transplantation, who initiated peginterferon (PEG-IFN) and ribavirin (RBV) in 2007 or 2008 and had HCV RNA testing for RVR. Significant baseline characteristics from genotype specific univariate analyses were used in backwards stepwise models to identify significant independent predictors of RVR.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The final cohort consisted of 2424 patients with genotype 1 (G1), 666 patients with genotype 2 (G2), and 419 patients with genotype 3 (G3). Rapid virological response rates were 15% for G1, 71% for G2 and 57% for G3. Sustained virological response rates were significantly higher in patients with rapid virological response than without, increasing from 18% to 52% in G1, 39% to 71% in G2, and 40% to 60% in G3 (P < 0.0001). A baseline HCV RNA < 500,000 IU/mL positively predicted RVR across all genotypes studied. In addition, for G1, Black race, Hispanic ethnicity, aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ≥ 0.6, ferritin ≥ 350 ng/mL, LDL< 100 mg/dL and diabetes; for G2, BMI ≥ 30 kg/m(2), platelets < 150 K/μL, LDL< 100 mg/dL and the use of PEG-IFN alfa-2b; and for G3, AST/ALT ≥ 1.0, all negatively predicted rapid virological response.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  We found several novel independent predictors of rapid virological response, including BMI, AST/ALT ratio, ferritin, platelets, LDL, diabetes and type of PEG-IFN prescribed, which may be useful in guiding treatment decisions in routine medical practice.
authors: Center for Quality Management in Public Health, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, CA 94304, USA.
authors: E W
authors: EW
authors: Hwang
authors: I-C
authors: IC
authors: Thomas
authors: R
authors: R
authors: Cheung
authors: L I
authors: LI
authors: Backus
mesh_terms: D000998:Antiviral Agents / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D015331:Cohort Studies; D004359:Drug Therapy, Combination; D005260:Female; D005838:Genotype; D016174:Hepacivirus / Q000187:drug effects* / Q000235:genetics / Q000302:isolation & purification; D019698:Hepatitis C, Chronic / Q000188:drug therapy* / Q000821:virology; D006801:Humans; D000077190:Interferon alpha-2; D016898:Interferon-alpha / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011092:Polyethylene Glycols / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D012367:RNA, Viral / Q000097:blood; D011994:Recombinant Proteins / Q000627:therapeutic use; D012254:Ribavirin / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D013997:Time Factors; D016896:Treatment Outcome; D014481:United States; D014728:Veterans; D019562:Viral Load
chemical_list: D000998:Antiviral Agents; D000077190:Interferon alpha-2; D016898:Interferon-alpha; D012367:RNA, Viral; D011994:Recombinant Proteins; D011092:Polyethylene Glycols; D012254:Ribavirin; C417083:peginterferon alfa-2b; C100416:peginterferon alfa-2a