title: [Consistency and dynamics of immigration in Italy].
abstract: According to recent data, foreign population currently in Italy is estimated to be 5,3 million, 550,000 irregular. Migration from Eastern Europe has progressively assumed leading position in the Italian panorama, downsizing other origins: betweenn 2005 and 2010, this component passed from 46% to 50,8% of the total immigrants, whereas all the other macro-areas have lost relative importance. Perspectives of slowing down of migration toward Italy could be real only when significant changes would happen in the areas at the origin of migration flow. In fact, if it is true that the demographic surplus from East Europe is bound to decrease through the process of local turnover of work supply, other great regions will show enormous excess of manpower. In North Africa, 3 million new workplaces will yearly be needed just to absorb excess of young workforce; in Latin America, the new workplaces to create will be almost twice as many. The sub Saharan Africa will however be under special observation, with 15-20 million places to create annually to absorb excess of offer. Italy could play as one of the safety valves of emigration.
authors.affiliation: Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, Dipartimento di Statistica, Milano, Italy. giancarlo.blangiardo@unimib.it
authors.forename: G C
authors.initials: GC
authors.lastname: Blangiardo
authors.forename: L
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Terzera
mesh_terms: D017954:Africa South of the Sahara; D000352:Africa, Northern; D002681:China; D054242:Emigrants and Immigrants / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D004641:Emigration and Immigration / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence / Q000706:statistics & numerical data* / Q000639:trends*; D004651:Employment / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence / Q000706:statistics & numerical data* / Q000639:trends; D005061:Europe, Eastern; D006801:Humans; D007194:India; D007558:Italy / Q000453:epidemiology; D007843:Latin America; D011158:Population Growth; D011640:Public Policy / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D012959:Socioeconomic Factors