title: Impact of the smoking ban on the volume of bar sales in Ireland: evidence from time series analysis.
abstract: This paper is the first to estimate the economic impact of a comprehensive smoking ban in all enclosed public places of work, on bars in Ireland. The demand in bars, represented by a monthly index of sales volume, is explained by relative prices in bars, prices of alcohol sold in off-licences and the aggregate retail sales (ARS) as a proxy for general economic activity and incomes. The smoking ban is included into the model as a step dummy and the modelling is done using ARIMAX strategy. The results show a reduction in the volume of sales in bars by -4.6% (p<0.01) following the ban.
authors.affiliation: Centre for Health Policy and Management, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
authors.forename: Laura
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Cornelsen
authors.forename: Charles
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Normand
mesh_terms: D006291:Health Policy / Q000191:economics*; D006801:Humans; D007494:Ireland; D017059:Models, Econometric; D012147:Restaurants / Q000191:economics*; D012907:Smoking; D013996:Time and Motion Studies