The urban health transition hypothesis: empirical evidence of an avian influenza Kuznets curve in Vietnam?
The literature on development has focused on the concept of transition in understanding the emergent challenges facing poor but rapidly developing countries. Scholars have focused extensively on the health and urban transitions associated with this change and, in particular, its use for understanding emerging infectious diseases. However, few have developed explicit empirical measures to quantify the extent to which a transitions focus is useful for theory, policy, and practice. Using open source data on avian influenza in 2004 and 2005 and the Vietnam Census of Population and Housing, this paper introduces the Kuznets curve as a tool for empirically estimating transition and disease. Findings suggest that the Kuznets curve is a viable tool for empirically assessing the role of transitional dynamics in the emergence of new infectious diseases.
East West Center's Environmental Change, Vulnerability and Governance Program, Department of Urban & Regional Planning, University of Hawai'i at Manoa, 2424 Maile Way, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA. jhs@hawaii.edu
James Herbert
JH
Spencer
D000818:Animals; D021821:Communicable Diseases, Emerging / Q000453:epidemiology; D003906:Developing Countries / Q000191:economics / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D057217:Economic Development; D036262:Empirical Research; D019456:Health Transition; D006801:Humans; D053124:Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype / Q000302:isolation & purification; D005585:Influenza in Birds / Q000453:epidemiology; D007251:Influenza, Human / Q000453:epidemiology*; D011200:Poultry / Q000382:microbiology; D014504:Urban Health; D014744:Vietnam / Q000453:epidemiology