The longitudinal prediction of alcohol consumption-related harms among young adults.
This study explores the longitudinal pathways by which risk and protective factors influence the development of alcohol-related harms in a representative community sample of 941 young adults (19-20 years) from Victoria, Australia, focusing on the role of concurrent risky drinking. Impulsivity at 15-16 years, alcohol-related harms at 15-16 years and 17-18 years, frequency of intoxication at 17-18 years, and antisocial behavior, friends' drinking and living arrangements at 19-20 years were directly related to alcohol-related harms, as well as indirectly related to harms through increased risky drinking. Paternal drinking at 17-18 years was directly related to alcohol-related harms. Friends' drinking at 19-20 years and alcohol-related harms at age 17-18 interacted with risky drinking to increase the likelihood of alcohol-related harms. Implications for intervention efforts are discussed.
Department of Paediatrics, University of Melbourne, Royal Children's Hospital, Parkville, Australia. klittle@unimelb.edu.au
Keriann
K
Little
Mary Therese
MT
Hawkins
Ann
A
Sanson
John Winston
JW
Toumbourou
Diana
D
Smart
Suzanne
S
Vassallo
Meredith
M
O'Connor
D000293:Adolescent; D000428:Alcohol Drinking / Q000009:adverse effects* / Q000523:psychology*; D019973:Alcohol-Related Disorders; D005260:Female; D005544:Forecasting; D006801:Humans; D008137:Longitudinal Studies; D008297:Male; D012309:Risk-Taking; D011795:Surveys and Questionnaires; D014739:Victoria; D055815:Young Adult