title: Short and long-term prediction of recidivism using the youth level of service/case management inventory in a sample of serious young offenders.
abstract: The present investigation examined the predictive accuracy of the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (YLS/CMI) for youth and adult recidivism in a Canadian sample of 167 youths (93 males, 74 females) charged with serious offenses who received psychological services from a community mental health outpatient clinic. Youths were followed for an average of 7 years in the community, and predictive accuracy was examined for several recidivism outcomes as a function of gender, ethnicity, and developmental age group. YLS/CMI total scores significantly predicted all recidivism categories in the overall sample (area under the curve values ranged from 0.66 to 0.77) although the instrument as a whole, and its criminogenic needs, demonstrated somewhat stronger and more consistent predictive accuracy for youth outcomes. The YLS/CMI also demonstrated significant predictive accuracy within demographic subgroups. The implications of these findings are discussed in terms of the use of risk-need assessment tools in providing clinical assessment, treatment, and case management services to diverse young offender groups.
authors: Department of Psychology, University of Saskatchewan, 9 Campus Drive, Saskatoon, SK, Canada. mark.olver@usask.ca
authors: Mark E
authors: ME
authors: Olver
authors: Keira C
authors: KC
authors: Stockdale
authors: Stephen C P
authors: SC
authors: Wong
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D002170:Canada; D019090:Case Management; D057189:Checklist; D005260:Female; D005544:Forecasting; D006801:Humans; D007604:Juvenile Delinquency / Q000517:prevention & control*; D008297:Male