title: Hopes and cautions in implementing Bayesian structural equation modeling.
abstract: Muthén and Asparouhov (2012) have proposed and demonstrated an approach to model specification and estimation in structural equation modeling (SEM) using Bayesian methods. Their contribution builds on previous work in this area by (a) focusing on the translation of conventional SEM models into a Bayesian framework wherein parameters fixed at zero in a conventional model can be respecified using small-variance priors and (b) implementing their approach in software that is widely accessible. We recognize potential benefits for applied researchers as discussed by Muthén and Asparouhov, and we also see a tradeoff in that effective use of the proposed approach introduces increased demands in terms of expertise of users to navigate new complexities in model specification, parameter estimation, and evaluation of results. We also raise cautions regarding the issues of model modification and model fit. Although we see significant potential value in the use of Bayesian SEM, we also believe that effective use will require an awareness of these complexities.
authors.affiliation: Department of Psychology, CB# 3270 Davie Hall, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3270, USA. maccallum@unc.edu
authors.forename: Robert C
authors.initials: RC
authors.lastname: MacCallum
authors.forename: Michael C
authors.initials: MC
authors.lastname: Edwards
authors.forename: Li
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Cai
mesh_terms: D001499:Bayes Theorem; D005163:Factor Analysis, Statistical; D006801:Humans; D015233:Models, Statistical