title: Predictive value of recent QuantiFERON conversion for tuberculosis disease in adolescents.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Conversions and reversions occur with IFN-γ release assay (IGRA) serial testing, as with the tuberculin skin test (TST). Recent TST conversion is associated with an established risk of developing tuberculosis (TB) disease, but the risk associated with recent IGRA conversions is unknown.
  
  
  OBJECTIVE
  To compare the incidence rate of TB disease after recent QuantiFERON TB Gold In-Tube (QFT) conversion compared with nonconverters.
  
  
  METHODS
  Adolescents with converted IGRA status (QFT converters [n = 534]) and randomly chosen adolescents whose IGRA status had remained negative over a period of 2 years (QFT nonconverters [n = 629]) were identified in a cohort study of TB infection and disease. Subsequent TB disease incidence was compared between the two groups.
  
  
  RESULTS
  For QFT converters, the TB incidence rate (all cases) was 1.46 cases per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82-2.39), and the cumulative incidence was 2.8% (95% CI, 1.58-4.59). A significantly lower TB incidence rate (0.17 cases per 100 person-yr [95% CI, 0.02-0.62]) and cumulative incidence (0.32% [95% CI, 0.03-1.14]) was observed for QFT nonconverters. The incidence rate ratio was 8.54 (95% CI, 2.51-29.13) for all cases of TB and 9.1 (95% CI, 1.65-50.36) for protocol-defined TB.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Recent QFT conversion was indicative of an approximately eight fold higher risk of progression to TB disease (compared with nonconverters) within 2 years of conversion in a cohort of adolescents in a high-TB burden population.
authors.affiliation: South African Tuberculosis Vaccine Initiative (SATVI), Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine (II), University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
authors.forename: Shingai
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Machingaidze
authors.forename: Suzanne
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Verver
authors.forename: Humphrey
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Mulenga
authors.forename: Deborah-Ann
authors.initials: DA
authors.lastname: Abrahams
authors.forename: Mark
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Hatherill
authors.forename: Willem
authors.initials: W
authors.lastname: Hanekom
authors.forename: Gregory D
authors.initials: GD
authors.lastname: Hussey
authors.forename: Hassan
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Mahomed
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D002648:Child; D006801:Humans; D059425:Interferon-gamma Release Tests; D055985:Latent Tuberculosis / Q000175:diagnosis*; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D014374:Tuberculin Test