title: Assessing heat-related mortality risks in Beijing, China.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To obtain the exposure-response relationship for temperature and mortality, and assess the risk of heat-related premature death.
  
  
  METHODS
  A statistical model was developed using a Poisson generalized linear regression model with Beijing mortality and temperature data from October 1st, 2006 to September 30th, 2008. We calculated the exposure-response relationship for temperature and mortality in the central city, and inner suburban and outer suburban regions. Based on this relationship, a health risk model was used to assess the risk of heat-related premature death in the summer (June to August) of 2009.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The population in the outer suburbs had the highest temperature-related mortality risk. People in the central city had a mid-range risk, while people in the inner suburbs had the lowest risk. Risk assessment predicted that the number of heat-related premature deaths in the summer of 2009 was 1581. The city areas of Chaoyang and Haidian districts had the highest number of premature deaths. The number of premature deaths in the southern areas of Beijing (Fangshan, Fengtai, Daxing, and Tongzhou districts) was in the mid-range.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Ambient temperature significantly affects human mortality in Beijing. People in the city and outer suburban area have a higher temperature-related mortality risk than people in the inner suburban area. This may be explained by a temperature-related vulnerability.
authors.affiliation: Institute of Environmental Health and Related Product Safety, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China. tiantianli@gmail.com
authors.forename: Tian Tian
authors.initials: TT
authors.lastname: Li
authors.forename: Yan Lin
authors.initials: YL
authors.lastname: Gao
authors.forename: Zai Hua
authors.initials: ZH
authors.lastname: Wei
authors.forename: Jing
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Wang
authors.forename: Ya Fei
authors.initials: YF
authors.lastname: Guo
authors.forename: Fan
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Liu
authors.forename: Zhao Rong
authors.initials: ZR
authors.lastname: Liu
authors.forename: Yan Li
authors.initials: YL
authors.lastname: Cheng
mesh_terms: D002423:Cause of Death; D002681:China; D006358:Hot Temperature; D015233:Models, Statistical; D009026:Mortality