title: Cancer incidence and mortality in Osaka, Japan: future trends estimation with an age-period-cohort model.
abstract: In previous studies we predicted future trends in cancer incidence for each prefecture in order to plan cancer control. Those predictions, however, did not take into account the characteristics of each prefecture. We therefore used the results of age-period-cohort analysis of incidence and mortality data of Osaka, and estimated the incidence and mortality of cancers at all sites and selected sites. The results reflect the characteristics of Osaka, which has and is expected to have large number of patients with liver cancer. We believe our results to be useful for planning and evaluating cancer control activities in Osaka. It would be worthwhile to base the estimation of cancer incidence and mortality in each prefecture on each population-based cancer registry.
authors.affiliation: Osaka University, Osaka, Japan. m-utada@sahs.med.osaka-u.ac.jp
authors.forename: Mai
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Utada
authors.forename: Yuko
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Ohno
authors.forename: Sachiko
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Shimizu
authors.forename: Yuri
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Ito
authors.forename: Hideaki
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Tsukuma
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000367:Age Factors; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D002648:Child; D002675:Child, Preschool; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D007223:Infant; D007231:Infant, Newborn; D007564:Japan / Q000453:epidemiology; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D009026:Mortality / Q000639:trends*; D009369:Neoplasms / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000401:mortality*; D011379:Prognosis; D012307:Risk Factors; D015996:Survival Rate; D013997:Time Factors; D055815:Young Adult