title: [Current distribution of Schisandra chinensis in China and its predicted responses to climate change].
abstract: With integration of literature data, specimens records, and field surveys, the current distribution map of Schisandra chinensis in China was drawn, and, based on this map and considering 21 environmental factors, the future distribution of S. chinensis in China in the 2050s and 2080s under the IPCC A2 and A1B climate change scenarios was predicted by using Maxent software. Currently, the S. chinensis in China occurred in 15 provinces, involving 151 counties, and its distribution area decreased with decreasing latitude and longitude. The main distribution area included Heilongjiang, Liaoning, Inner Mongolia, and Jilin. The potential distribution area of S. chinensis in China was 145.12 x 10(4) km2, 48.6% of which were the favorable habitat area, mainly distributed in Changbai Mountains, Xiaoxing'anling Mountains, Daxing'anling Mountains, and the regions between Hebei and Liaoning provinces. The most favorable habitat area only accounted for 0.3%, and was mainly in the Kuandian Manchu Autonomous County, Benxi Manchu Autonomous County, and Huanren Manchu Autonomous County of Liaoning Province, the Antu County and Helong County of Jilin Province, and the Yakeshi City of Inner Mongolia. Under the two climate change scenarios, the potential future distribution area of S. chinensis in China would have a gradual decrease, and the decrement would be larger under A2 than under A1B scenario. By 2050, the distribution area of the S. chinensis under A1B and A2 scenarios would be moderately decreased to 84.0% and 81.5% of the current distribution area, respectively; by 2080, the distribution of S. chinensis under A2 scenario would be dramatically decreased to only 0.5% of the current range, and that under A1B scenario would be decreased to 1/2 of the current range.
authors.affiliation: Beijing University of Agriculture, Beijing 102206, China. lilehu@gmail.com
authors.forename: Li-Le
authors.initials: LL
authors.lastname: Hu
authors.forename: Hai-Ying
authors.initials: HY
authors.lastname: Zhang
authors.forename: Ling
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Qin
authors.forename: Bo-Qian
authors.initials: BQ
authors.lastname: Yan
mesh_terms: D002681:China; D057231:Climate Change; D017753:Ecosystem; D005544:Forecasting; D010946:Plants, Medicinal / Q000254:growth & development*; D032141:Schisandra / Q000254:growth & development*