title: Design and semiparametric analysis of non-inferiority trials with active and placebo control for censored time-to-event data.
abstract: The clinical trial design including a test treatment, an active control and a placebo is called the gold standard design. In this paper, we develop a statistical method for planning and evaluating non-inferiority trials with gold standard design for right-censored time-to-event data. We consider both lost to follow-up and administrative censoring. We present a semiparametric approach that only assumes the proportionality of the hazard functions. In particular, we develop an algorithm for calculating the minimal total sample size and its optimal allocation to treatment groups such that a desired power can be attained for a specific parameter constellation under the alternative. For the purpose of sample size calculation, we assume the endpoints to be Weibull distributed. By means of simulations, we investigate the actual type I error rate, power and the accuracy of the calculated sample sizes. Finally, we compare our procedure with a previously proposed procedure assuming exponentially distributed event times. To illustrate our method, we consider a double-blinded, randomized, active and placebo controlled trial in major depression.
authors.affiliation: Institut für Mathematische Stochastik, Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Goldschmitdstraße 7, 37077, Göttingen, Germany.
authors.forename: Karola
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Kombrink
authors.forename: Axel
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Munk
authors.forename: Tim
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Friede
mesh_terms: D000465:Algorithms; D003198:Computer Simulation; D003627:Data Interpretation, Statistical; D003865:Major Depressive Disorder / Q000188:drug therapy; D006801:Humans; D015233:Models, Statistical; D016032:Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic / Q000379:methods*; D012107:Research Design; D018401:Sample Size
keywords: Cox proportional hazards model; non-inferiority; retention of effect; sample size allocation; semiparametric; three-arm design