title: Landscape development during a glacial cycle: modeling ecosystems from the past into the future.
abstract: Understanding how long-term abiotic and biotic processes are linked at a landscape level is of major interest for analyzing future impact on humans and the environment from present-day societal planning. This article uses results derived from multidisciplinary work at a coastal site in Sweden, with the aim of describing future landscape development. First, based on current and historical data, we identified climate change, shoreline displacement, and accumulation/erosion processes as the main drivers of landscape development. Second, site-specific information was combined with data from the Scandinavian region to build models that describe how the identified processes may affect the site development through time. Finally, the process models were combined to describe a whole interglacial period. With this article, we show how the landscape and ecosystem boundaries are affected by changing permafrost conditions, peat formation, sedimentation, human land use, and shoreline displacement.
authors.affiliation: Swedish Nuclear Fuel and Waste Management Co, Box 250, 101 24, Stockholm, Sweden. tobias.lindborg@skb.se
authors.forename: Tobias
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Lindborg
authors.forename: Lars
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Brydsten
authors.forename: Gustav
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Sohlenius
authors.forename: Mårten
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Strömgren
authors.forename: Eva
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Andersson
authors.forename: Anders
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Löfgren
mesh_terms: D017753:Ecosystem; D007053:Ice; D008962:Models, Theoretical
chemical_list: D007053:Ice