title: Risk assessment on the epidemics of human infection with a novel avian influenza A (H7N9) virus in Jiangsu Province, China.
abstract: A novel avian influenza A (H7N9) virus was discovered in February 2013 in China and has resulted in more than 100 comfirmed human infections including 26 fatal cases as of May 2, 2013. The situation raises many urgent questions and global public health concerns. In this study, epidemiologic characteristics of infected human cases in Jiangsu province were analyzed and risk assessment was undertaken based on the information available. Briefly, it is highly unlikely that a pandemic of human infection with avian influenza A (H7N9) virus will happen in Jiangsu Province in the near future. In the end, some measures are recommended to prevent the situation from becoming worse.
authors.affiliation: Department of Acute Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210009, China.
authors.forename: Wendong
authors.initials: W
authors.lastname: Liu
authors.forename: Yefei
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Zhu
authors.forename: Xian
authors.initials: X
authors.lastname: Qi
authors.forename: Ke
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Xu
authors.forename: Aihua
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Ge
authors.forename: Hong
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Ji
authors.forename: Jing
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Ai
authors.forename: Changjun
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Bao
authors.forename: Fenyang
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Tang
authors.forename: Minghao
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Zhou
keywords: H7N9; avian influenza; risk assessment