title: Early prognostic factors in distal radius fractures in a younger than osteoporotic age group: a multivariate analysis of trauma radiographs.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Treatment of distal radius fractures in patients of a younger than osteoporotic age is complex, because they often are the result of a high-energy trauma and have intra-articular fractures and associated injuries. As yet no fracture classification exists that predicts outcome. Our aim was to find the earliest possible prognostic factor by testing which radiological parameter on the trauma radiograph would have the greatest impact on clinical outcome in a younger than osteoporotic age group.
  
  
  METHODS
  We assessed 66 patients (34 F) with unilateral fractures of the distal radius from a non-Osteoporotic age group. The median age was 42 years, (10th -90th percentile 20-54). Pre-reduction antero-posterior and lateral wrist radiographs were obtained and fracture pattern, radiocarpal joint surface tilt, radial length, radial inclination and ulnar variance were measured. Clinical outcome was assessed with the subjective part as well as the complete modified Gartland and Werley score. Multivariate analysis of those parameters was performed to assess which radiological parameter would best predict outcome.
  
  
  RESULTS
  It was found that post-traumatic ulna + (>2 mm) was the single factor that significantly correlated with a bad outcome. An intra-articular fracture pattern may also be a strong marker; however this was not statistically significant (RR 95% conf interval 0.94 - 20.59).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  The present study showed that post-traumatic ulna + is the most important factor in predicting bad outcome in non-osteoporotic patients, but that especially intra-articular fractures and to a lesser extent dorsal tilt may be of importance too.
authors.affiliation: Department of Orthopaedics, Amphia Hospital, Breda, The Netherlands. achbeumer@hotmail.com
authors.forename: Annechien
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Beumer
authors.forename: Catharina
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Adlercreutz
authors.forename: Tommy R
authors.initials: TR
authors.lastname: Lindau
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D000367:Age Factors; D005260:Female; D005592:Fracture Fixation; D006801:Humans; D057072:Intra-Articular Fractures / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging / Q000628:therapy; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D058866:Osteoporotic Fractures / Q000473:pathology* / Q000628:therapy; D011379:Prognosis; D011859:Radiography; D011884:Radius / Q000293:injuries*; D011885:Radius Fractures / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging / Q000628:therapy; D014947:Wounds and Injuries; D014954:Wrist Injuries / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging / Q000628:therapy; D055815:Young Adult