title: Towards the planning and design of disturbance patterns across scales to counter biological invasions.
abstract: The way in which disturbances from human land use are patterned in space across scales can have important consequences for efforts to govern human/environment with regard to, but not only, invasive spread-dispersal processes. In this context, we explore the potential of disturbance patterns along a continuum of scales as proxies for identifying the geographical regions prone to spread of invasive plant species. To this end, we build on a previous framework of cross-scale disturbance patterns, exercising the approach for the Apulia region (South Italy). We first review procedures and results introducing disturbance maps and sliding windows to measure composition (amount) and configuration (contagion) of disturbance patterns both for real and simulated landscapes from random, multifractal and hierarchical neutral models. We introduce cross-scale disturbance profiles obtained by clustering locations from real and simulated landscapes, which are used as foils for comparison to the real landscapes on the same pattern transition space. Critical percolation thresholds derived from landscape observations and theoretical works are discussed in order to identify critical scale domains. With reference to the actual land use and invasive alien flora correlates of disturbance patterns, a cross-scale "invasibility" map of the Apulia region is derived, which shows sub-regions and scale domains with different potentials for the invasive spread of undesirable species. We discuss the potential effect of contagious and non-contagious disturbances like climate change and why multifractal-like disturbance patterns might be more desirable than others to counter biological invasions in a multi-scale and multi-level context of adaptive planning, design and management of disturbance.
authors.affiliation: Lab. of Landscape Ecology, Dept. of Biological and Environmental Sciences and Technologies, Ecotekne, University of Salento, Prov.le Lecce Monteroni, 73100 Lecce, Italy.
authors.forename: Giovanni
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Zurlini
authors.forename: Irene
authors.initials: I
authors.lastname: Petrosillo
authors.forename: Kenneth Bruce
authors.initials: KB
authors.lastname: Jones
authors.forename: Bai-Lian
authors.initials: BL
authors.lastname: Li
authors.forename: Kurt Hans
authors.initials: KH
authors.lastname: Riitters
authors.forename: Pietro
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Medagli
authors.forename: Silvano
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Marchiori
authors.forename: Nicola
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Zaccarelli
mesh_terms: D057231:Climate Change; D016000:Cluster Analysis; D003198:Computer Simulation; D003247:Conservation of Natural Resources; D017753:Ecosystem; D006801:Humans; D058865:Introduced Species; D007558:Italy; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D010934:Planning Techniques; D010944:Plants
keywords: Critical thresholds of disturbance; Cross-scale disturbance patterns; Disturbance planning and design; Invasibility map; Neutral landscape models