title: [Information technologies in epidemiological control of natural-focal infectious diseases].
abstract: An approach to increase effectiveness of epidemiological control of Crimean hemorrhagic fever, West Nile fever and Astrakhan spotted fever by building a prognostic model of epidemic activity based on contemporary information technologies of spatial and intellectual data analysis was developed and tested. Personified data on 4505 laboratory confirmed cases of natural-focal infectious diseases registered in the Russian Federation and database on 1999 - 2011 climatic observations were processed. A model implementing prognosis of epidemiological situation intensity level as a function of a combination of factors, maps of density of epidemic manifestations were built. On a practical example high effectiveness of the approach to epidemiological analysis based on the use of contemporary analytical technologies for evaluation of temporal and spatial categories of epidemiological risk was demonstrated.
authors.forename: V Iu
authors.initials: VIu
authors.lastname: Smolenskiĭ
authors.forename: V A
authors.initials: VA
authors.lastname: Safronov
authors.forename: V P
authors.initials: VP
authors.lastname: Toporkov
mesh_terms: D003198:Computer Simulation; D005260:Female; D006479:Hemorrhagic Fever, Crimean / Q000453:epidemiology*; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008954:Models, Biological; D012426:Russia / Q000453:epidemiology; D014901:West Nile Fever / Q000453:epidemiology*