title: [Are higher fertility rates a solution to the declining long-term care potential?].
abstract: This article addresses demographic changes with respect to future long-term care in Germany. The discourse focuses on fertility issues and consequences for long-term care: Which effects can be expected on long-term care assuming a growing fertility rate? Are higher fertility rates a practicable and sufficient approach to meet the need for increasing long-term care? The comparison of different population forecast variants shows that past demographic trends will have strong effects on the future age structure in the long run, even when taking into account a realistic estimate of rising fertility numbers.
authors.affiliation: Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung, Friedrich-Ebert-Allee 4, 65185, Wiesbaden, Deutschland. frank.micheel@bib.bund.de
authors.forename: F
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Micheel
mesh_terms: D001723:Birth Rate / Q000639:trends*; D005544:Forecasting; D005858:Germany; D019456:Health Transition; D008134:Long-Term Care / Q000706:statistics & numerical data / Q000639:trends*; D009729:Nursing / Q000706:statistics & numerical data / Q000639:trends*; D011158:Population Growth; D000078329:Workforce