title: Climate and health: observation and modeling of malaria in the Ferlo (Senegal).
abstract: The aim of this work, undertaken in the framework of QWeCI (Quantifying Weather and Climate Impacts on health in the developing countries) project, is to study how climate variability could influence malaria seasonal incidence. It will also assess the evolution of vector-borne diseases such as malaria by simulation analysis of climate models according to various climate scenarios for the next years. Climate variability seems to be determinant for the risk of malaria development (Freeman and Bradley, 1996 [1], Lindsay and Birley, 1996 [2], Kuhn et al., 2005 [3]). Climate can impact on the epidemiology of malaria by several mechanisms, directly, via the development rates and survival of both pathogens and vectors, and indirectly, through changes in vegetation and land surface characteristics such as the variability of breeding sites like ponds.
authors.affiliation: Laboratoire de physique de l'atmosphère et de l'océan Siméon-Fongang, École supérieure polytechnique de l'université Cheikh-Anta-Diop (UCAD), Dakar-Fann, Dakar, Senegal. ivedioufpc@yahoo.fr
authors.forename: Ibrahima
authors.initials: I
authors.lastname: Diouf
authors.forename: Abdoulaye
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Deme
authors.forename: Jacques-André
authors.initials: JA
authors.lastname: Ndione
authors.forename: Amadou Thierno
authors.initials: AT
authors.lastname: Gaye
authors.forename: Belén
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Rodríguez-Fonseca
authors.forename: Moustapha
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Cissé
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D002980:Climate; D003198:Computer Simulation; D009033:Culicidae; D006262:Health; D006801:Humans; D007303:Insect Vectors; D008288:Malaria / Q000453:epidemiology*; D015233:Models, Statistical; D010944:Plants; D015995:Prevalence; D011891:Rain; D012306:Risk; D012621:Seasons; D012675:Senegal / Q000453:epidemiology; D013696:Temperature; D014887:Weather
keywords: Afrique de l’Ouest; Climat; Climate; Ferlo; Malaria; Modelling; Modélisation; Paludisme; Senegal; Sénégal; West Africa