title: Predictive uncertainty in infrared marker-based dynamic tumor tracking with Vero4DRT.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To quantify the predictive uncertainty in infrared (IR)-marker-based dynamic tumor tracking irradiation (IR Tracking) with Vero4DRT (MHI-TM2000) for lung cancer using logfiles.
  
  
  METHODS
  A total of 110 logfiles for 10 patients with lung cancer who underwent IR Tracking were analyzed. Before beam delivery, external IR markers and implanted gold markers were monitored for 40 s with the IR camera every 16.7 ms and with an orthogonal kV x-ray imaging subsystem every 80 or 160 ms. A predictive model [four-dimensional (4D) model] was then created to correlate the positions of the IR markers (PIR) with the three-dimensional (3D) positions of the tumor indicated by the implanted gold markers (Pdetect). The sequence of these processes was defined as 4D modeling. During beam delivery, the 4D model predicted the future 3D target positions (Ppredict) from the PIR in real-time, and the gimbaled x-ray head then tracked the target continuously. In clinical practice, the authors updated the 4D model at least once during each treatment session to improve its predictive accuracy. This study evaluated the predictive errors in 4D modeling (E4DM) and those resulting from the baseline drift of PIR and Pdetect during a treatment session (EBD). E4DM was defined as the difference between Ppredict and Pdetect in 4D modeling, and EBD was defined as the mean difference between Ppredict calculated from PIR in updated 4D modeling using (a) a 4D model created from training data before the model update and (b) an updated 4D model created from new training data.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The mean E4DM was 0.0 mm with the exception of one logfile. Standard deviations of E4DM ranged from 0.1 to 1.0, 0.1 to 1.6, and 0.2 to 1.3 mm in the left-right (LR), anterior-posterior (AP), and superior-inferior (SI) directions, respectively. The median elapsed time before updating the 4D model was 13 (range, 2-33) min, and the median frequency of 4D modeling was twice (range, 2-3 times) per treatment session. EBD ranged from -1.0 to 1.0, -2.1 to 3.3, and -2.0 to 3.5 mm in the LR, AP, and SI directions, respectively. EBD was highly correlated with BDdetect in the LR (R = -0.83) and AP directions (R = -0.88), but not in the SI direction (R = -0.40). Meanwhile, EBD was highly correlated with BDIR in the SI direction (R = -0.67), but not in the LR (R = 0.15) or AP (R = -0.11) direction. If the 4D model was not updated in the presence of intrafractional baseline drift, the predicted target position deviated from the detected target position systematically.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Application of IR Tracking substantially reduced the geometric error caused by respiratory motion; however, an intrafractional error due to baseline drift of >3 mm was occasionally observed. To compensate for EBD, the authors recommend checking the target and IR marker positions constantly and updating the 4D model several times during a treatment session.
authors.affiliation: Department of Radiation Oncology and Image-applied Therapy, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8507, Japan.
authors.forename: Mami
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Akimoto
authors.forename: Mitsuhiro
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Nakamura
authors.forename: Nobutaka
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Mukumoto
authors.forename: Hiroaki
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Tanabe
authors.forename: Masahiro
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Yamada
authors.forename: Yukinori
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Matsuo
authors.forename: Hajime
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Monzen
authors.forename: Takashi
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Mizowaki
authors.forename: Masaki
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Kokubo
authors.forename: Masahiro
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Hiraoka
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D005260:Female; D057918:Fiducial Markers; D006801:Humans; D007259:Infrared Rays; D008175:Lung Neoplasms / Q000503:physiopathology / Q000532:radiotherapy*; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D009068:Movement; D011878:Radiotherapy / Q000592:standards*; D035501:Uncertainty