title: Development and validation of the Good Outcome Following Attempted Resuscitation (GO-FAR) score to predict neurologically intact survival after in-hospital cardiopulmonary resuscitation.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  Informing patients and providers of the likelihood of survival after in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA), neurologically intact or with minimal deficits, may be useful when discussing do-not-attempt-resuscitation orders.
  
  
  OBJECTIVE
  To develop a simple prearrest point score that can identify patients unlikely to survive IHCA, neurologically intact or with minimal deficits.
  
  
  METHODS
  The study included 51,240 inpatients experiencing an index episode of IHCA between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2009, in 366 hospitals participating in the Get With the Guidelines-Resuscitation registry. Dividing data into training (44.4%), test (22.2%), and validation (33.4%) data sets, we used multivariate methods to select the best independent predictors of good neurologic outcome, created a series of candidate decision models, and used the test data set to select the model that best classified patients as having a very low (<1%), low (1%-3%), average (>3%-15%), or higher than average (>15%) likelihood of survival after in-hospital cardiopulmonary resuscitation for IHCA with good neurologic status. The final model was evaluated using the validation data set.
  
  
  METHODS
  Survival to discharge after in-hospital cardiopulmonary resuscitation for IHCA with good neurologic status (neurologically intact or with minimal deficits) based on a Cerebral Performance Category score of 1.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The best performing model was a simple point score based on 13 prearrest variables. The C statistic was 0.78 when applied to the validation set. It identified the likelihood of a good outcome as very low in 9.4% of patients (good outcome in 0.9%), low in 18.9% (good outcome in 1.7%), average in 54.0% (good outcome in 9.4%), and above average in 17.7% (good outcome in 27.5%). Overall, the score can identify more than one-quarter of patients as having a low or very low likelihood of survival to discharge, neurologically intact or with minimal deficits after IHCA (good outcome in 1.4%).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  The Good Outcome Following Attempted Resuscitation (GO-FAR) scoring system identifies patients who are unlikely to benefit from a resuscitation attempt should they experience IHCA. This information can be used as part of a shared decision regarding do-not-attempt-resuscitation orders.
authors.affiliation: Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of Georgia, Athens2Institute for Evidence-Based Practice in the Health Professions, University of Georgia, Athens.
authors.forename: Mark H
authors.initials: MH
authors.lastname: Ebell
authors.forename: Woncheol
authors.initials: W
authors.lastname: Jang
authors.forename: Ye
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Shen
authors.forename: Romergryko G
authors.initials: RG
authors.lastname: Geocadin
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D016887:Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation / Q000401:mortality*; D003072:Cognition Disorders / Q000209:etiology; D020000:Decision Support Systems, Clinical; D003661:Decision Support Techniques; D005260:Female; D005544:Forecasting; D006323:Heart Arrest / Q000150:complications / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000401:mortality / Q000628:therapy*; D006760:Hospitalization; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D009422:Nervous System Diseases / Q000209:etiology; D011379:Prognosis; D012042:Registries; D016414:Resuscitation Orders; D017211:Treatment Failure; D014481:United States / Q000453:epidemiology