title: Simulating society transitions: standstill, collapse and growth in an evolving network model.
abstract: We developed a model society composed of various occupations that interact with each other and the environment, with the capability of simulating three widely recognized societal transition patterns: standstill, collapse and growth, which are important compositions of society evolving dynamics. Each occupation is equipped with a number of inhabitants that may randomly flow to other occupations, during which process new occupations may be created and then interact with existing ones. Total population of society is associated with productivity, which is determined by the structure and volume of the society. We ran the model under scenarios such as parasitism, environment fluctuation and invasion, which correspond to different driving forces of societal transition, and obtained reasonable simulation results. This work adds to our understanding of societal evolving dynamics as well as provides theoretical clues to sustainable development.
authors.affiliation: State Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change, Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China ; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
authors.forename: Guanghua
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Xu
authors.forename: Junjie
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Yang
authors.forename: Guoqing
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Li
mesh_terms: D003198:Computer Simulation; D003247:Conservation of Natural Resources; D004777:Environment; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D009790:Occupations; D012961:Sociology / Q000379:methods*