title: The ability of analysts' recommendations to predict optimistic and pessimistic forecasts.
abstract: Previous researches show that buy (growth) companies conduct income increasing earnings management in order to meet forecasts and generate positive forecast Errors (FEs). This behavior however, is not inherent in sell (non-growth) companies. Using the aforementioned background, this research hypothesizes that since sell companies are pressured to avoid income increasing earnings management, they are capable, and in fact more inclined, to pursue income decreasing Forecast Management (FM) with the purpose of generating positive FEs. Using a sample of 6553 firm-years of companies that are listed in the NYSE between the years 2005-2010, the study determines that sell companies conduct income decreasing FM to generate positive FEs. However, the frequency of positive FEs of sell companies does not exceed that of buy companies. Using the efficiency perspective, the study suggests that even though buy and sell companies have immense motivation in avoiding negative FEs, they exploit different but efficient strategies, respectively, in order to meet forecasts. Furthermore, the findings illuminated the complexities behind informative and opportunistic forecasts that falls under the efficiency versus opportunistic theories in literature.
authors.affiliation: Department of Accounting, Faculty of Business and Accountancy, University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
authors.forename: Vahid
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Biglari
authors.forename: Ervina Binti
authors.initials: EB
authors.lastname: Alfan
authors.forename: Rubi Binti
authors.initials: RB
authors.lastname: Ahmad
authors.forename: Najmeh
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Hajian
mesh_terms: D003132:Commerce / Q000191:economics / Q000639:trends*; D005544:Forecasting / Q000379:methods*; D006801:Humans; D008960:Models, Psychological; D015233:Models, Statistical; D009042:Motivation