title: Streaks in skilled performance.
abstract: Experiments in golf putting and darts demonstrated that skilled performance is streaky. The tendency for outcome sequences to form streaks was greatest when the task difficulty was such that about half the trials were successful. Mixtures of the two activities were also streaky, even when periodic interruption made the individual components resemble a random Bernoulli process. Formal models of sequence structure revealed that waves in hit rate are associated with the appearance of streaks.
authors.affiliation: Department of Psychology, University of Texas, Mezes 330, 78712, Austin, TX, gilden@psyvax.psy.utexas.edu.
authors.forename: D L
authors.initials: DL
authors.lastname: Gilden
authors.forename: S G
authors.initials: SG
authors.lastname: Wilson